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Mar 6 2016 09:33pm
Round 1

1. Tennessee Titans (3-13) - Laremy Tunsil, OT, Ole Miss
Did you guys know that the Titans are probably going to select Tunsil at #1 overall?

2. Cleveland Browns (3-13) - Carson Wentz, QB, North Dakota State
I did Bosa last week but it's going to be a QB here. I know some argue that but unless they sign someone in FA this will be Wentz or Goff.

3. San Diego Chargers (4-12) - Ronnie Stanley, OT, Notre Dame
For the longest time I was down on this idea but the gap between Tunsil and Stanley isn't as big as some are making it seem. Put it this way, if Tunsil was not in this draft then Stanley would be the overwhelming consensus #1 pick for the Titans so the value is here for the Chargers and fills such a massive need.

4. Dallas Cowboys (4-12) - Joey Bosa, DE/OLB, Ohio State
While Myles Jack seems to be the favorite here I think in the end Bosa will win out if he's available. Seems like he'd fit well in what the Cowboys are doing on defense.

5. Jacksonville Jaguars (5-11) - Myles Jack, LB, UCLA
It's going to be Jack, Bosa or Ramsey for the Jags, in that order.

6. Baltimore Ravens (5-11) - Leonard Floyd, DE/OLB, Georgia
I don't think I've mocked this once but the more I thought about it the more and more Floyd to the Ravens makes sense.

7. San Francisco 49ers (5-11) - Vernon Hargreaves III, CB, Florida
As tempting as Buckner or a QB is here, I think the Niners will put some serious thought into Hargreaves here. They have a handful of guys at corner that can cover #2 guys but they don't have that one guy who can stand along and lock down a top option. I don't think Chip will love any of these first round quarterbacks anyway so defense will be the move unless Stanley is available.

8. Miami Dolphins (5-11) - Jalen Ramsey, FS, Florida State
This is a tough spot for the Phins because there really isn't anyone worth taking that fills a need for them (maybe Buckner but I caught some shade for that one lol) so they take one of/the top talent on the board. Some say Ramsey can play corner which I highly doubt but hey the Dolphins can try him at corner and if he doesn't pan out, move him to safety and have an elite safety prospect.

9. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-10) - DeForest Buckner, DE/DT, Oregon
Buccs need help all up and down the DL and all over the secondary so as long as they take the BPA on the DL or in the secondary, they made a good selection.

10. New York Giants (6-10) - A'Shawn Robinson, DT, Alabama
Spence would be an intriguing option for the Giants here but they don't often go for those character concerns guys (not saying they don't at all, just not usually, keep your panties on) so they go for the safer yet still incredibly talented pick of Robinson.

11. Chicago Bears (6-10) - Emmanuel Ogbah, DE, Oklahoma State
12. New Orleans Saints (7-9) - Sheldon Rankins, DT, Louisville
13. Philadelphia Eagles (7-9) - Jared Goff, QB, California
Yes I know they just re-signed Bradford but it's a 2 year deal of which Bradford likely won't play all the games since he's made of glass. Goff likely won't be available here but if he is it's going to be difficult for the Eagles to pass on him imo.

14. Oakland Raiders (7-9) - Darron Lee, LB, Ohio State
You could put Ragland here but I think Lee will fit in with the Raiders a little better.

15. Los Angeles Rams (7-9) - William Jackson, CB, Houston
I had Jackson as my #3 corner in my pre-combine rankings and after showing off his skills at the combine, he's the clear cut #2 and could have a case made for even being better than Hargreaves. They franchised Trumain but Jenkins' fate is still up in the air. If they can't re-sign him then a replacement will desperately be needed.

16. Detroit Lions (7-9) - Jarran Reed, DT, Alabama
17. Atlanta Falcons (8-8) - Hunter Henry, TE Arkansas
It's difficult to take a center in the first round and I believe the Falcons will have faith in Justin Hardy to replace Roddy White as the #2 receiver so they may not jump on a WR in round one. However they do desperately miss Tony Gonzalez so finding a better option there will be a must this offseason.

18. Indianapolis Colts (8-8) - Ezekiel Elliot, RB, Ohio State
Everyone is pegging Zeke to the Texans but I think the Giants, Colts, Jets and Skins are all dark horses to select Zeke ahead of the Texans (along with the Phins and Buccs if they can't re-sign Miller and Dougie respectively). The Colts have a lot of needs and RB might not be one you think of but Gore is celebrating his 107th birthday in May and started to slow down towards the end of last season. They have their QB and WR1 locked down, they need that franchise back to lean on now.

19. Buffalo Bills (8-8) - Noah Spence, DE/OLB, Eastern Kentucky
I'm fairly convinced as of right now that Spence is going to fall a little more than most think. He wows everyone with his talent and then shits the bed the moment he opens his mouth. I won't be surprised if he goes in the top 5 and I won't be surprised if he sits until day 2 but the Bills would be a good fit for him and Sexy Rexy doesn't mind off the field issues.

20. New York Jets (10-6) - Reggie Ragland, ILB, Alabama
21. Washington Redskins (9-7) - Kendall Fuller, CB, Virginia Tech
22. Houston Texans (9-7) - Laquon Treadwell, WR, Ole Miss
They need help all over the offense and taking a guy like Treadwell to pair with Hopkins would pretty much be perfect for them. They have a few other guys that can fill that #2 spot but Treadwell is pretty much the perfect compliment for Hopkins and without a RB here and likely no QB they want to invest this pick in so they get some weapons in place for whoever ends up under center.

23. Minnesota Vikings (11-5) - Su'a Cravens, SS/OLB, USC
24. Cincinnati Bengals (12-4) - Shaq Lawson, DE, Clemson
25. Pittsburgh Steelers (10-6) - Xavien Howard, CB, Baylor
26. Seattle Seahawks (10-6) - Jack Conklin, OT, Michigan State
27. Green Bay Packers (10-6) - Jaylon Smith, LB, Notre Dame
I'm hesitant to put Smith here because I don't believe he'll go in round 1 since teams will be scared off by the fact that he won't be playing in 2016 but the Packers are in a position where they can take this risk and see if they can get a top 10 talent at a position of need at pick 27.

28. Kansas City Chiefs (11-5) - Taylor Decker, OT, Ohio State
29. New England Patriots (12-4) - **Pick Forfeited for Deflategate**
30. Arizona Cardinals (13-3) - Paxton Lynch, QB, Memphis
I'm not really a fan of this pick but I don't hate it either. It's being reported that teams aren't really in love with Lynch and sounds like someone might just settle for him and I can see that team being the Cards. He does fit what BA wants to do and doesn't have to start right away so it wouldn't be an awful fit. We do have much more pressing needs but if we can make a splash in FA (Hali :drool: ) then we might be able to afford a slight risk like this.

31. Carolina Panthers (15-1) - Jason Spriggs, OT, Indiana
32. Denver Broncos (12-4) - Robert Nkemdiche, DE, Ole Miss
They're likely going to lose Malik Jackson so a replacement will be needed. Teams seem to be really cooling on Nkemdiche and even marking him as undraftable because of his attitude so you're going to need a really good group of vets around Nkemdiche for him to succeed it seems. The guys on that Broncos' defense won't allow Nkemdiche to fuck around.



Round 2

1. Cleveland Browns (3-13) - Adolphus Washington, DE, Ohio State
2. Tennessee Titans (3-13) - Eli Apple, CB, Ohio State
3. Dallas Cowboys (4-12) - Corey Coleman, WR, Baylor
4. San Diego Chargers (4-12) - Keanu Neal, FS, Florida
5. Baltimore Ravens (5-11) - Tyler Boyd, WR, Pittsburgh
Boyd has jumped to my #1 overall receiver in this draft. It won't be drafted that way and I know that and won't overrate him in a mock just yet but the Ravens are getting a steal here if I'm correct.....which is a rare thing so sorry Ravens buzzins.

6. San Francisco 49ers (5-11) - Michael Thomas, WR, Ohio State
7. Miami Dolphins (5-11) - Cody Whitehair, G, Kansas State
8. Jacksonville Jaguars (5-11) - Darian Thompson, FS, Boise State
9. New York Giants (6-10) - Kevin Dodd, DE, Clemson
10. Chicago Bears (6-10) - Mackensie Alexander, CB, Clemson
11. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-10) - Karl Joseph, SS, West Virginia
12. Los Angeles Rams via Philadelphia (7-9) - Josh Doctson, WR, TCU
13. Oakland Raiders (7-9) - Vonn Bell, SS, Ohio State
14. Los Angeles Rams (7-9) - Connor Cook, QB, Michigan State
15. Detroit Lions (7-9) - Derrick Henry, RB, Alabama
16. New Orleans Saints (7-9) - Vadal Alexander, OT/G, LSU
17. Indianapolis Colts (8-8) - Blake Martinez, ILB, Stanford
18. Buffalo Bills (8-8) - Will Fuller, WR, Notre Dame
19. Atlanta Falcons (8-8) - Ryan Kelly, C, Alabama
I have a first round grade on Ryan Kelly but you pretty much just don't take centers in the first round which works out for the Falcons though because they're getting a big talent at their biggest area of need.

20. New York Jets (10-6) - Kamalei Correa, DE/OLB, Boise State
21. Houston Texans (9-7) - Germain Ifedi, OT/G, Texas A&M
22. Washington Redskins (9-7) - Andrew Billings, NT, Baylor
23. Minnesota Vikings (11-5) - Joshua Garnett, G, Stanford
24. Cincinnati Bengals (12-4) - Vernon Butler, DT, Louisiana Tech
25. Seattle Seahawks (10-6) - Kenny Clark, DT, UCLA
26. Green Bay Packers (10-6) - C.J. Procise, RB, Notre Dame
27. Pittsburgh Steelers (10-6) - James Bradberry, CB/FS, Samford
28. Kansas City Chiefs (11-5) - Scooby Wright III, LB, Arizona
29. New England Patriots (12-4) - Braxton Miller, WR, Ohio State
30. Arizona Cardinals (13-3) - Shilique Calhoun, DE/OLB, Michigan State
31. Carolina Panthers (15-1) - Devontae Booker, RB, Utah
32. Denver Broncos (12-4) - Dak Prescott, QB, Mississippi State



Round 3

1. Tennessee Titans (3-13) - Hassan Ridgeway, NT, Texas
2. Cleveland Browns (3-13) - Leonte Carroo, WR, Rutgers
3. San Diego Chargers (4-12) - Le'Raven Clark, OT, Texas Tech
4. Dallas Cowboys (4-12) - Artie Burns, CB, Miami
5. San Francisco 49ers (5-11) - Cardale Jones, QB, Ohio State
6. Miami Dolphins (5-11) - Harlan Miller, CB, Southeastern Louisiana
7. Jacksonville Jaguars (5-11) - Jonathan Bullard, DE, Florida
8. Baltimore Ravens (5-11) - Deiondre' Hall, CB, Northern Iowa
9. Chicago Bears (6-10) - Willie Beavers, OT/G, Western Michigan
10. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-10) - Zack Sanchez, CB, Oklahoma
11. New York Giants (6-10) - Kyler Fackrell, LB, Utah State
12. Oakland Raiders (7-9) - Yannick Ngakoue, DE/OLB, Maryland
13. Los Angeles Rams (7-9) - Sheldon Day, DE/DT, Notre Dame
14. Philadelphia Eagles via Detroit (7-9) - Sebastian Tretola, G, Arkansas
15. New Orleans Saints (7-9) - Bronson Kaufusi, DE/OLB, BYU
16. Philadelphia Eagles (7-9) - Maurice Canady, CB, Virginia
17. Buffalo Bills (8-8) - Denver Kirkland, OT/G, Arkansas
18. Atlanta Falcons (8-8) - Beniquez Brown, LB, Mississippi State
19. Indianapolis Colts (8-8) - Nick Martin, C, Notre Dame
20. New York Jets (10-6) - Jacoby Brissett, QB, N.C. State
21. Washington Redskins (9-7) - Kentrell Brothers, LB, Missouri
22. Houston Texans (9-7) - Christian Hackenberg, QB, Penn State
23. Minnesota Vikings (11-5) - Devon Cajuste, WR, Stanford
Cajuste really impressed me at the combine and I think he'd be a great weapon to pair with Stefon Diggs.

24. Cincinnati Bengals (12-4) - Pharoh Cooper, WR, South Carolina
25. Green Bay Packers (10-6) - Alex McCalister, DE/OLB, Florida
26. Pittsburgh Steelers (10-6) - Maliek Collins, DT, Nebraska
27. Seattle Seahawks (10-6) - Spencer Drango, OT/G, Baylor
28. Kansas City Chiefs (11-5) - Aaron Burbridge, WR, Michigan State
29. New England Patriots (12-4) - Graham Glasgow, G/C, Michigan
30. Arizona Cardinals (13-3) - Rashard Robinson, CB, LSU
Maybe the Cardinals can take another troubled but very talented LSU DB and use their current LSU DBs to turn him around.

31. Carolina Panthers (15-1) - Carl Nassib, DE, Penn State
32. Denver Broncos (12-4) - Antonio Morrison, ILB, Florida



Round 4

1. Cleveland Browns (3-13) - Shon Coleman, OT, Auburn
2. Tennessee Titans (3-13) - Kenneth Dixon, RB, Louisiana Tech
3. Dallas Cowboys (4-12) - Jeff Driskel, QB, Lousiana Tech
4. San Diego Chargers (4-12) - Austin Johnson, NT, Penn State
5. Jacksonville Jaguars (5-11) - Jeremy Cash, SS, Duke
6. Baltimore Ravens (5-11) - Joe Dahl, OT/G, Washington State
7. San Francisco 49ers (5-11) - Max Tuerk, C, USC
8. Chicago Bears (6-10) - Rashard Higgins, WR, Colorado State
9. Miami Dolphins (6-10) - Jihad Ward, DE, Illinois
10. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-10) - Sean Davis, FS, Maryland
11. New York Giants (6-10) - Chris Jones, DE/DT, Mississippi State
12. Los Angeles Rams (7-9) - Kyle Murphy, OT, Stanford
13. Detroit Lions (7-9) - Demarcus Robinson, WR, Florida
14. New Orleans Saints (7-9) - Geronimo Allison, WR, Illinois
15. Philadelphia Eagles (7-9) - Sterling Shepard, WR, Oklahoma
16. Oakland Raiders (7-9) - D.J. Foster, RB/WR, Arizona State
17. Atlanta Falcons (8-8) - Jayron Kearse, SS, Clemson
18. Indianapolis Colts (8-8) - Eric Murray, CB, Minnesota
19. Buffalo Bills (8-8) - Jerald Hawkins, OT, LSU
20. New York Jets (10-6) - Paul Perkins, RB, UCLA
21. Houston Texans (9-7) - Josh Ferguson, RB, Illinois
22. Washington Redskins (9-7) - Josh Forrest, LB, Kentucky
23. Minnesota Vikings (11-5) - Miles Killebrew, SS, Southern Utah
If they use Cravens as that hybrid safety/linebacker that the NFL is transitioning into needing now then they'll need someone else to play next to Smith. I know they just gave that rando guy a contract but I think they'll still address the position.

24. Cincinnati Bengals (12-4) - Tyvis Powell, FS, Ohio State
25. Pittsburgh Steelers (10-6) - Tyler Matakevich, ILB, Temple
26. Seattle Seahawks (10-6) - Will Redmond, CB, Mississippi State
27. Green Bay Packers (10-6) - Austin Hooper, TE, Stanford
28. Kansas City Chiefs (11-5) - Jalen Mills, FS, LSU
29. New England Patriots (12-4) - Jordan Howard, RB, Indiana
30. Arizona Cardinals (13-3) - Shawn Oakman, DE, Baylor
31. Carolina Panthers (15-1) - Kolby Listenbee, WR, TCU
Kelvin Benjamin and Devin Funchess, Ginn is old so you throw in Listenbee with 4.3 speed to be the #3 guy. Not a bad trio.

32. Baltimore Ravens via Denver (12-4) - Jordan Jenkins, DE/OLB, Georgia
Keep the Georgia pass rush unit together.





Previous Mocks:

2016 Week 1: http://forums.d2jsp.org/topic.php?t=73216799&f=204
2016 Week 2: http://forums.d2jsp.org/topic.php?t=73232749&f=204
2016 Week 3: http://forums.d2jsp.org/topic.php?t=73254170&f=204
2016 Week 4: http://forums.d2jsp.org/topic.php?t=73278566&f=204
2016 Week 5: http://forums.d2jsp.org/topic.php?t=73300451&f=204
2016 Week 6: http://forums.d2jsp.org/topic.php?t=73320798&f=204
2016 Week 7: http://forums.d2jsp.org/topic.php?t=73337648&f=204
2016 Week 8: http://forums.d2jsp.org/topic.php?t=73356679&f=204
2016 Week 9: http://forums.d2jsp.org/topic.php?t=73376187&f=204
2016 Week 10: http://forums.d2jsp.org/topic.php?t=73395159&f=204
2016 Week 11: http://forums.d2jsp.org/topic.php?t=73452702&f=204
2016 Week 12: http://forums.d2jsp.org/topic.php?t=73499797&f=204
2016 Week 13: http://forums.d2jsp.org/topic.php?t=73581850&f=204
2016 Week 14: http://forums.d2jsp.org/topic.php?t=73633878&f=204
2016 Week 15: http://forums.d2jsp.org/topic.php?t=73699416&f=204
2016 Week 16: http://forums.d2jsp.org/topic.php?t=73733347&f=204
2016 Week 17: http://forums.d2jsp.org/topic.php?t=73767457&f=204

2016 Post Season Week 1: http://forums.d2jsp.org/topic.php?t=73805920&f=204
2016 Post Season Week 2: http://forums.d2jsp.org/topic.php?t=73878097&f=204
2016 Post Season Week 3: http://forums.d2jsp.org/topic.php?t=73900484&f=204
2016 Post Season Week 4: http://forums.d2jsp.org/topic.php?t=73965037&f=204

2016 Off Season Week 1: http://forums.d2jsp.org/topic.php?t=74021758&f=204
2016 Off Season Week 2: http://forums.d2jsp.org/topic.php?t=74051375&f=204

2016 Free Agent V1.0: http://forums.d2jsp.org/topic.php?t=73889792&f=204

2016 Pro Bowl Mock Draft: http://forums.d2jsp.org/topic.php?t=73936345&f=204

Player Rankings Pre-Combine: http://forums.d2jsp.org/topic.php?t=74013612&f=204

Previous Years:

2015 Final Mock: http://forums.d2jsp.org/topic.php?t=72556551&f=204
2015 Live Mock: http://forums.d2jsp.org/topic.php?t=72556650&f=204

2014 Draft Analysis/All Mocks/Other Threads: http://forums.d2jsp.org/topic.php?t=70753997&f=204

2013 Final Mock: http://forums.d2jsp.org/topic.php?t=67113792&f=204
2013 Live Mock: http://forums.d2jsp.org/topic.php?t=67170870&f=204
2013 Draft Analysis: http://forums.d2jsp.org/topic.php?t=67228920&f=204

2012 Draft Analysis: http://forums.d2jsp.org/topic.php?t=62247355&f=204
Member
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Mar 6 2016 09:35pm
I'm curious, comparing your previous mocks to the "real thing", what positions do you tend to overvalue? Undervalue?
Member
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Joined: Feb 18 2007
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Mar 6 2016 09:40pm
Quote (BardOfXiix @ Mar 6 2016 08:35pm)
I'm curious, comparing your previous mocks to the "real thing", what positions do you tend to overvalue? Undervalue?


I'm dumb, say again, less words, more simple, please.
Member
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Mar 6 2016 09:58pm
Quote (Randolph @ Mar 6 2016 08:40pm)
I'm dumb, say again, less words, more simple, please.


Do you tend to predict that more WRs are taken or less WRs are taken than are actually taken? Linebackers, etc? Is there a trend across the years?
Member
Posts: 51,331
Joined: Feb 18 2007
Gold: 0.27
Mar 6 2016 10:02pm
Quote (BardOfXiix @ Mar 6 2016 08:58pm)
Do you tend to predict that more WRs are taken or less WRs are taken than are actually taken? Linebackers, etc? Is there a trend across the years?


Oh idk, not something I've ever looked at. Only one I can say for sure is I definitely undervalue quarterbacks simply because I know the real thing overvalues them so I tend to always be waaaay short on how many QBs are taken.

You can't really undervalue WR, OL, DL, LB, or DBs because you can never really have too many good players at those positions. I'm sure I short sell TEs every year and RB I'd think I'm usually pretty good on.
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