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Aug 11 2020 07:32pm
Quote (Handcuffs @ 12 Aug 2020 03:02)
What other word comes to mind when men call women bitches and express feelings of wanting to punch them in the face?


'Anger management'?
'Emotionally unbalanced'?
'Grumpy because he's melting in an 30°C/86°F apartment'?


I mostly use the term "bitch" as a generic pejorative and dont mean it in the sense of "slutty behavior".
The "punch her in the face"-line was uncalled for, I shouldnt write (or think) stuff like that. That was not my brightest moment...

This post was edited by Black XistenZ on Aug 11 2020 07:33pm
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Aug 11 2020 08:07pm
Quote (Black XistenZ @ Aug 11 2020 08:32pm)
'Anger management'?
'Emotionally unbalanced'?
'Grumpy because he's melting in an 30°C/86°F apartment'?

I mostly use the term "bitch" as a generic pejorative and dont mean it in the sense of "slutty behavior".
The "punch her in the face"-line was uncalled for, I shouldnt write (or think) stuff like that. That was not my brightest moment...


I hope you actually do use this as a learning moment, because a lot of unconscious bias is really obvious to other people but not obvious to yourself, but it becomes easier if you actually look out for it. A lot of people assume they don't have it and so they never accept when it's shown to them.
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Aug 11 2020 08:29pm
Quote (Thor123422 @ 12 Aug 2020 04:07)
I hope you actually do use this as a learning moment, because a lot of unconscious bias is really obvious to other people but not obvious to yourself, but it becomes easier if you actually look out for it. A lot of people assume they don't have it and so they never accept when it's shown to them.


Hold on, I admitted that wishing violence on someone I dislike was a mistake. This does not mean that I agree with you guys when you say it was sexism.
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Aug 11 2020 08:37pm
Quote (Black XistenZ @ Aug 11 2020 07:29pm)
Hold on, I admitted that wishing violence on someone I dislike was a mistake. This does not mean that I agree with you guys when you say it was sexism.


It's not an either/or, but a both/and.
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Aug 11 2020 08:41pm
Quote (Black XistenZ @ Aug 11 2020 09:29pm)
Hold on, I admitted that wishing violence on someone I dislike was a mistake. This does not mean that I agree with you guys when you say it was sexism.


Maybe do some introspection then.
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Aug 11 2020 08:42pm
how does wanting to punch a woman in the face count as sexism? that's equality. i want to punch all people in the face that arent babies, because im woke.
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Aug 11 2020 08:48pm
Quote (Handcuffs @ Aug 11 2020 09:02pm)
What other word comes to mind when men call women bitches and express feelings of wanting to punch them in the face?


Men often want to punch other men in the face. It's an interesting conundrum.

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Aug 11 2020 08:52pm
Quote (bogie160 @ Aug 11 2020 07:48pm)
Men often want to punch other men in the face. It's an interesting conundrum.


That was only one piece. This is an instance of the sum of the parts illuminating the whole.
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Aug 12 2020 11:10am
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/

Fivethirtyeight showing Trump with a 29% probability of winning reelection. Exactly the same number their model gave him on election day in 2016. Feels like a déjà vu.


It should be noted, however, that a lot of Trump's win probability comes from the tremendous amount of uncertainty (of various sorts) that is still accounted for in the model. The more Biden can run out the clock, the more his odds will automatically improve.

This post was edited by Black XistenZ on Aug 12 2020 11:11am
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Aug 12 2020 11:15am
Quote (Black XistenZ @ Aug 12 2020 12:10pm)
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/

Fivethirtyeight showing Trump with a 29% probability of winning reelection. Exactly the same number their model gave him on election day in 2016. Feels like a déjà vu.

It should be noted, however, that a lot of Trump's win probability comes from the tremendous amount of uncertainty (of various sorts) that is still accounted for in the model. The more Biden can run out the clock, the more his odds will automatically improve.


Polls can be accurate in current state and not be relevant to the election date.

We're still ~3 months out. A lot can happen. All that matters is the polling the day of, and polling the week of the election last time had Trump within margin of error.

However, this time Trump isn't going to get the last day push from Comey, and he can't play himself off as an outsider fighting the scary politician. People tend to want those "career politicians" when shit hits the fan. So this time the predictions against Trump are more likely to be valid all the way to the end.

This post was edited by Thor123422 on Aug 12 2020 11:16am
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