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Union dominated state politics can't really IMO be categorized as left wing economic policy.
what about the coal dominated economy era with strong union presence reads as liberally economic?
Afaik, Kentucky was very supportive of high spending by the federal government back in the day.
Quote (thesnipa @ 21 Jun 2021 22:05)
Hi, curious still.
also disagree on the latinos. i think they're more likely to create a counter culture against the catholic dogma of their parents and be more sympathetic to illegals, even tho their parents immigrated legally presumably. most of the latino surge is just overcalculation of Miami cubans.
Big disagree. This is a map of the county swings from 2016->2020:
As you can see, it's not just southern florida, where the rightward shift could be explained by Cubans coming home to the GOP or by campaign ads scaremongering about looming socialism falling on fertile ground.
The same trend is also visible in the Rio Grande Valley, LA county and the non-elite districts of NYC. Also note that Harris county (Houston) was a wash in spite of whites stampeding to the left there, because of hispanics moving to the right and balancing it out.
Now, Republicans are of course overstating both the magnitude of their support among latinos and the size of this trend (Maricopa county/Phoenix is a counterexample), but it's nonetheless a widespread pattern in the 2020 map.
The big question, imho, is rather if 2020 was really the beginning of a long-term realignment among hispanic voters, or if it was an idiosyncratic result based on a unique political environment (covid, BLM riots) and a unique candidate (Trump).
Quote (NetflixAdaptationWidow @ 21 Jun 2021 22:35)
You're just nitpicking again. My argument was that every Democrat that supported medicare for all was reelected, even in Republican leaning districts. I find it hilarious that you think you've proven something by pointing out that there were 2 in Republican leaning districts. The mere fact that they have a 100% rate is notable in a year where Republicans gained seats, and it's doubly so when you consider that the Republican leaning districts still elected them despite this being a notably left deviation. If your thesis holds any water then M4A supporters in even neutral districts should have lost, but they didn't.
The fact that you consider an argument which hinges on a sample size of 2 to have any merit is a disgrace for a PhD holder who literally works as a scientist.
And no, I'm not nitpicking. In this one district in Oregon, which is only marginally R-leaning, the Democratic incumbent has represented them in Congress for 34 years. Do you seriously believe it proves anything that voters were not willing to give him the boot over his largely symbolic support for one piece of legislation which will not become law anytime soon anyway?
Likewise, the 100% win rate is not nearly as notable once we keep in mind that most Dem candidates in competiive districts did not endorse M4A. 91.3% (21 of 23) Dems running in swing districts chose to stay away from M4A.
Also, you're massively moving the goalposts. My thesis was not that M4A was completely toxic, it was your thesis that it's an electoral winner.
This post was edited by Black XistenZ on Jun 21 2021 02:58pm