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Poll > Trump 2020 > Trump Vs. Pack O' Dems
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EA7
#7421 Oct 24 2020 12:24pm
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Quote (Thor123422 @ Oct 24 2020 08:20pm)
Gonna need some proof on this.


I'm not posting screenshots of anything that even remotely reveals even the smallest sliver of identifying information about me. Last time I did, our good friend Saucisson spent 3 days straight working overtime trying to doxx me.
Thor123422
#7422 Oct 24 2020 12:41pm
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Quote (EA7 @ Oct 24 2020 01:24pm)
I'm not posting screenshots of anything that even remotely reveals even the smallest sliver of identifying information about me. Last time I did, our good friend Saucisson spent 3 days straight working overtime trying to doxx me.


Then im going to assume you're lying

But still laugh at you if you lose

This post was edited by Thor123422 on Oct 24 2020 12:42pm
thundercock
#7423 Oct 24 2020 01:24pm
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Quote (EA7 @ Oct 24 2020 11:19am)
It's been fun guys, real fun. Placed another 5-figure bet on Trump, it's literally printing money. How the betting sites haven't caught on to the polls being rigged yet is really beyond me, but I'm not complaining. If he wins again, I'll have made close to $100k simply from taking advantage of the rigged polls and fake betting odds. Thanks MSM!


Weren't you the one who wouldn't even bet fg with me?
Bazi
#7424 Oct 24 2020 01:44pm
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Quote (EA7 @ Oct 24 2020 01:19pm)
It's been fun guys, real fun. Placed another 5-figure bet on Trump, it's literally printing money. How the betting sites haven't caught on to the polls being rigged yet is really beyond me, but I'm not complaining. If he wins again, I'll have made close to $100k simply from taking advantage of the rigged polls and fake betting odds. Thanks MSM!


At what odds? You spent ~ $150k On trump winning?
EA7
#7425 Oct 24 2020 02:04pm
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Quote (thundercock @ Oct 24 2020 09:24pm)
Weren't you the one who wouldn't even bet fg with me?


I already told you I have no use for fg since I don't play any video games. Plus you don't even have a respectable amount to bet.

Quote (Bazi @ Oct 24 2020 09:44pm)
At what odds? You spent ~ $150k On trump winning?


No, I bet $20k getting roughly 3:1 in 2016. I made the same bet this year getting 2:1 before the last debate and Hunter's laptop from hell scandal. Currently I'm debating wagering more on him winning specific states. I think NC and Florida are a lock and the odds are pretty good for those.
Bazi
#7426 Oct 24 2020 02:05pm
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Quote (EA7 @ Oct 24 2020 03:04pm)
I already told you I have no use for fg since I don't play any video games. Plus you don't even have a respectable amount to bet.



No, I bet $20k getting roughly 3:1 in 2016. I made the same bet this year getting 2:1 before the last debate and Hunter's laptop from hell scandal. Currently I'm debating wagering more on him winning specific states. I think NC and Florida are a lock and the odds are pretty good for those.


Oh so you have about 20k u might make now and 100 total , I misread
EA7
#7427 Oct 24 2020 02:07pm
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Quote (Bazi @ Oct 24 2020 10:05pm)
Oh so you have about 20k u might make now and 100 total , I misread


It's not going to be 100k probably, as I'm still somewhat reluctant to bet on individual state outcomes given there could be some shenanigans occurring with mail-in voting. But still a decent chunk of change made getting odds that are very, very clearly +EV. There's not many scenarios where you can get genuinely good odds from betting sites, but in this case the corrupt polls really work in my favor. Can't complain.
Handcuffs
#7428 Oct 24 2020 02:32pm
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Quote (EA7 @ Oct 24 2020 11:24am)
I'm not posting screenshots of anything that even remotely reveals even the smallest sliver of identifying information about me. Last time I did, our good friend Saucisson spent 3 days straight working overtime trying to doxx me.


I'll accept a 3 figure donation to me as proof of your financial status.
Black XistenZ
#7429 Oct 24 2020 09:00pm
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Quote (EA7 @ 24 Oct 2020 22:04)
I already told you I have no use for fg since I don't play any video games. Plus you don't even have a respectable amount to bet.



No, I bet $20k getting roughly 3:1 in 2016. I made the same bet this year getting 2:1 before the last debate and Hunter's laptop from hell scandal. Currently I'm debating wagering more on him winning specific states. I think NC and Florida are a lock and the odds are pretty good for those.


Wait a second, you're telling me that you bet on Trump winning the election, at 2:1 odds, while we were still in the disastrous "shitshow debate" and "Trump got covid" news cycle, and you're saying that bets like this are giving you clear positive EV? :rofl:

No offense, but you gotta be joking. For such odds to be good value, Trump's real chances of winning would need to be above 35%, which they are not. Neither now, after a good week for Trump, and definitely not before then when he had a bad 2-3 weeks.
excellence
#7430 Oct 24 2020 09:14pm
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Quote (Black XistenZ @ 24 Oct 2020 23:00)
Wait a second, you're telling me that you bet on Trump winning the election, at 2:1 odds, while we were still in the disastrous "shitshow debate" and "Trump got covid" news cycle, and you're saying that bets like this are giving you clear positive EV? :rofl:

No offense, but you gotta be joking. For such odds to be good value, Trump's real chances of winning would need to be above 35%, which they are not. Neither now, after a good week for Trump, and definitely not before then when he had a bad 2-3 weeks.

i doubt anyone was giving 3:1 odds for Trump despite him shooting himself in the foot for most of 2020
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