Quote (EA7 @ 24 Oct 2020 22:04)
I already told you I have no use for fg since I don't play any video games. Plus you don't even have a respectable amount to bet.
No, I bet $20k getting roughly 3:1 in 2016. I made the same bet this year getting 2:1 before the last debate and Hunter's laptop from hell scandal. Currently I'm debating wagering more on him winning specific states. I think NC and Florida are a lock and the odds are pretty good for those.
Wait a second, you're telling me that you bet on Trump winning the election, at 2:1 odds, while we were still in the disastrous "shitshow debate" and "Trump got covid" news cycle, and you're saying that bets like this are giving you clear positive EV?
No offense, but you gotta be joking. For such odds to be good value, Trump's real chances of winning would need to be above 35%, which they are not. Neither now, after a good week for Trump, and definitely not before then when he had a bad 2-3 weeks.