hmm yes, the house is a win but it's harder with senate, especially since only 1/3 are concerned and it's maybe not the right ones

Latest poll shows Dean Heller up 7 points on Jacky Rosen in the Nevada Senate race. This was originally projected to be one of the easier seats for Democrats to flip. Heller was in hot water with his state a lot this past year. Doesn't look like the case anymore. What a bad few weeks for Democrats, and right at the worst time for them.

https://www.cnn.com/2018/10/16/politics/julian-castro-interview-2020-bid-likely/index.html



Julian Castro everyone.

& what a treat it’s been to watch.



Yeah I live in Texas & said in 2016 I thought he was a strong candidate for the VP ticket, simply being a Hispanic Democrat

To celebrate his massive fundraising coup (and refusing to share it with other (D) candidates - a decision i agree with) beto Robert Francis O’Rourke decided to make a snark remark at Ted Cruz throw an ultra doozy of a hail mary and copied President Trump by calling Ted Rafael Edward Cruz “Lyin’ Ted” in their last debate while Cruz was beating down beto Robert Francis O’Rourke with a skateboard and math equations

:LAUGH OUT LOUD:

agreed. the Dems' improvement in the house forecast over the last week or so was mostly driven by minor increases in the generic ballot, and I think it is overestimating the real gap that we will see on election day. I really dont believe that the turnout gap will be as big as the enthusiasm gap. I still think the Dems are favorites to win the House, but not by 85 to 15 percent.



yeah, the senate is looking good for republicans right now. gaining additional seats would be huge. both for getting trump's judicial nominees through more easily in case he loses the house and thats all he has left to do for the next two years, and also with regard to the 2020 and 2022 senate races, which will have quite tough maps for the GOP. if they barely hold on to the senate this time around with 50 or 51 seats, they are almost guaranteed to lose the senate in 2020.

and of course, expanding the lead in the senate to, say, 53-47, while holding onto the house would open up the possibility for trump to get his cornerstone legislations through much more easily.

right now, I see a high probability that the next two years will either be very unproductive with a split congress and a president who certainly lacks the political skills and the tactfulness to maneuver such an environment, or very productive with the GOP still having trifecta control and a more comfortable margin in the senate.

The residents of Cali have been telling him “stop campaigning and fix the city”

silly you. contemporary democrats are not about fixing things, they are about having "a strong vision for the country".

Trump is coming to my city tonight to campaign for Lyin' Ted. I'm just glad the GOP is having to use more time and resources than expected on this race in a Republican stronghold.