Quote (IceMage @ Oct 5 2019 05:22pm)
I don't know what you're talking about.
I'm speaking of the diplomats. Given the context of the situation they were in, it's completely understandable that, since Trump was withholding a meeting as leverage to get the Ukrainians to open investigations, they would think that withholding aid is yet another quid pro quo.
And yet it doesn't mean that Trump actually was withholding a meeting as leverage. They could be mistaken about Trump's intentions, or acting under a false assumption, or just aware of the fog of uncertainty in their largely redundant positions when Trump sets policy by tweet.
Its even possible that his diplomats made explicit quid pro quo offers to their Ukrainian counterparts by misreading Trump in a 'troublesome priest' scenario, whether that was his intention or not. In that event, this impeachment could go really crazy
Quote
It's somewhat of a hole, but if we take your point on Trump and his administration being incompetent and chaotic, it doesn't rule it out. Especially given the other evidence(like the rough transcript). I don't think Trump gave this a ton of thought. His personal lawyer and diplomats were leaning on the Ukrainians to open investigations, and one day Trump said, "fuck it, if you aren't going to play ball, let me hold this aid".
Its possible, but its also unlikely given the evidence. It simply doesn't make sense given both Trump's brash precedent and willingness to take controversial positions openly even if democrats will scream its illegal, nor does it make sense given that massive logical hole of the leverage being pointless if Ukraine doesn't know what's going on. And consider also that Trump would easily 'justify' such a position by pointing to Joe Biden doing the same thing to coerce Ukraine in the first place. Why bother lying about it? Democrats clearly don't care whether there was a quid pro quo or not, they're going to pursue impeachment either way, they made that abundantly clear. And I can say with certainty that in any reasonable, evenhanded reading of the law, its
not illegal in either case- an inconvenient fact to politicians of both parties, the IC and FEC and DOJ who all settled on screaming about foreign election interference being illegal even tough there's no such laws (look at the shitshow of a trial of Concord Management, trying to get them for 'being anonymous online' in a blatant prosecutorial overreach)
The point being, to figure there was a quid pro quo requires us to believe in uncharacteristic coordination and conspiracy by Trump for no real purpose and with no need to lie about it. 99.99% of the time, conspiracy theories turn out to be false and the truth is just mundane. And Trump has been on the receiving end of those theories with the same result over and over again, and the few times there actually was substance to a secret story- Stormy Daniels for example- he just evaded and issued nondenials and plead ignorance and finally copped to it, like a true snake of a politician would. I'm disinclined to believe any of the wild theories without wild evidence, whether its cultists screaming about a deep state or qanon or just democrats going on about russia & ukraine.
Quote
Of course, the cult isn't going to buy the theory unless some transcript gets released of Trump explicitly saying "we're withholding aid until they open investigations". And then you'll all go right into "doesn't matter anyway lulz".
The democrats already said it doesn't matter anyway so it would just be even footing at that point.