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Sep 11 2020 10:58am
9/11 update:

Biden: 5/6
Trump: 21/20
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Sep 11 2020 11:03am
Quote (Black XistenZ @ Sep 9 2020 09:42pm)
I see no reason why Trump is back to even money, the recent polls and news cycles have been bad for him, and the clock is generally ticking against him. Similarly, I have a hard time imagining Trump supporters gaining more confidence over the past couple of days (and placing bets accordingly) than Biden supporters.


i can see why you'd think that from across the pond.

but when i drive to work i see no less than 100, yes one fucking hundred, yards with trump flags or trump signs. i see maybe 2 biden signs.
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Sep 11 2020 04:38pm
Quote (thesnipa @ 11 Sep 2020 19:03)
i can see why you'd think that from across the pond.

but when i drive to work i see no less than 100, yes one fucking hundred, yards with trump flags or trump signs. i see maybe 2 biden signs.


So? Iirc, you live in rural(-ish) Wisconsin, which should of course be a good Trump area. But all it takes is one large suburb trending against him to offset 100 rural towns...
Furthermore, yard signs have never been a good predictor of elections. In 2012, there was also constant talk about how there are soooo much more Romney than Obama signs, but Obama still defeated him handily in the end.
Specifically regarding 2020: a lack of Biden signs doesnt mean a lot, since a big share of the votes he's gonna receive are votes against Trump more than they are votes for Biden. Biden doesnt need to close the enthusiasm gap as long as enough voters are energized and motivated by casting their vote against Trump.

This post was edited by Black XistenZ on Sep 11 2020 04:39pm
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Sep 11 2020 04:47pm
putting a sign in your yard will change nobody's mind
zero people
none
especially in this political climate
the only reason to put a sign in your yard is to identify yourself as part of a group
trump voters are like vegans
i'm voting for biden
i don't have a fucking sign
because i don't need everyone who doesn't give a shit to know that i'm voting for biden

This post was edited by chemoshots on Sep 11 2020 04:48pm
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Sep 11 2020 04:52pm
nearly tied, trump slightly behind

there's a reason casinos do that :lol:
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Sep 12 2020 08:14am
Maher began by citing what he called "frightening" finds from electoral analyst Nate Silver, who recently determined that if Biden wins the popular vote by less than 1 percent, he'll have only a "6 percent chance" of becoming president through the electoral college.

Similarly, if Biden wins the popular vote by 1 or 2 percent, he'll have a "22 percent chance" of being elected in addition to the "46 percent chance" with a 2 to 3 percent popular vote margin.


"So he could win by 3 percent and he still has less than half a chance of winning the election," Maher said. "You've got to get up to 5 or 6 percent before he has a 98 percent chance of winning the election. That's a f---ed up country."
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Sep 12 2020 08:45am
Quote (chemoshots @ Sep 11 2020 06:47pm)
putting a sign in your yard will change nobody's mind
zero people
none
especially in this political climate
the only reason to put a sign in your yard is to identify yourself as part of a group
trump voters are like vegans
i'm voting for biden
i don't have a fucking sign
because i don't need everyone who doesn't give a shit to know that i'm voting for biden


Put a trump bumper sticker on your car and watch the landscapers smash your windshield in then. Theres a statement against the social terrorism of these Democrat clowns involved.

Quote (thesnipa @ Sep 11 2020 01:03pm)
i can see why you'd think that from across the pond.

but when i drive to work i see no less than 100, yes one fucking hundred, yards with trump flags or trump signs. i see maybe 2 biden signs.


I'm pretty sure its the wives putting up the Biden signs for Kamala. I dont know any single person who is "excited" about Biden

This post was edited by EndlessSky on Sep 12 2020 08:46am
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Sep 12 2020 09:02am
Quote (Skinned @ Sep 12 2020 10:14am)
Maher began by citing what he called "frightening" finds from electoral analyst Nate Silver, who recently determined that if Biden wins the popular vote by less than 1 percent, he'll have only a "6 percent chance" of becoming president through the electoral college.

Similarly, if Biden wins the popular vote by 1 or 2 percent, he'll have a "22 percent chance" of being elected in addition to the "46 percent chance" with a 2 to 3 percent popular vote margin.


"So he could win by 3 percent and he still has less than half a chance of winning the election," Maher said. "You've got to get up to 5 or 6 percent before he has a 98 percent chance of winning the election. That's a f---ed up country."



Change the electoral college, don’t cry about it like a little bitch when it’s not advantageous to your side.

Also fuck Maher. He knows exactly why the founding fathers went with this system, did the hack talk about the tyranny of the majority?
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Sep 12 2020 10:01am
Quote (EndlessSky @ Sep 12 2020 10:45am)
Put a trump bumper sticker on your car and watch the landscapers smash your windshield in then. Theres a statement against the social terrorism of these Democrat clowns involved.



I'm pretty sure its the wives putting up the Biden signs for Kamala. I dont know any single person who is "excited" about Biden


yes i'm sure if i asked people why they put up their signs and bumper stickers
they'd say "i'm making a statement against the social terrorism of the Democrat clowns"
good grief
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Sep 12 2020 10:02am
i prefer tyranny of the minority
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