I've been watching these closely since in 2016 my first indication that Hilary was in trouble was when Vegas started to shift, well today is the first time that Trump is even money and Biden pays .87 on the dollar...I'll continue to post odds here when I can!


Today's odds 8/27:

Donald Trump 1/1
Joe Biden 20/23

Vegas odds are a pretty poor indicator. The polling shifts should have tipped you off.

made mad fgs betting on Trump in 2016. Ask him

They were a good indicator in 2016 all the polls still had Hilary winning substantially but the Vegas odds were tighter.
And speaking of polls Rasmussen from yesterday was Biden with only 1 pt lead so....

So a black man can’t get into his car without getting shot in the back 7 times (makes no difference if there was a knife under the seat), but white men can waltz around the city after curfew with assault rifles , kill people, walk past the police and go home. Cool. That shows the racial inequality in Murica to perfection.

I got an ak 47, a binary trigger, a 75 round drum and mad weed with my Trump check. Aint no coronas, cops, protesters or vigilantes coming in here.

Coronas shot on site.

This post was edited by ianarky on Aug 27 2020 05:27pm

Rasmussen is the laughing stock of the polling world. The polls did not have Hillary winning "substantially" given that her lead was within the margin of error. Favored to win != guaranteed to win. We see much more improbable events happen all the time in the sporting world.

You make a fair point but mine is that vegas has shifted even more than the polls and that has some parallel to 2016

Only metric I follow for predictions of this nature

The betting market is moving in line with polling aggregates.

Biden has lost a lot of ground as a result of the rioting.

If that's true, after this weekend trump will get his Reaganesque landslide victory