Quote (Black XistenZ @ Apr 25 2024 11:18am)
Taking Odessa would come with great strategic advantages for Russia. They would control the entire northern shore of the Black Sea and all gas or oil found in the region. (There are rumors that large gas fields have been found in recent times near Crimea.)They would also cut Ukraine off from any good ports. Exporting all the grain and industrial products via land is neither logically feasible nor economic. By controlling all major (formerly) Ukrainian Black Sea ports, Russia would gain a chokehold on Ukraine's exports and economy. They could use it to extort a share of Ukraine's GDP during times of peace and to economically force them into submission in times of conflict.
This issue is already present in lesser form because Russia controls the left bank of the Dniepr river. Transporting steel from, say, the Dnipro region to Odessa via train and ship it from there is not optimal, but it's feasible. Transporting it all the way to Bulgaria or Poland via land, however, would be far too costly.
So yes, I, for my part, believe that Russia has a great interest in taking Odessa, it's just that other dominos would have to fall first before they can turn their full focus on this objective.
Russia too busy celebrating great victories in the east part right now, u must seen pictures all over social media, village with like 7 houses all destroyed.
One might desire many things but without means to achieve those desires its nothing but pipe dreams/propaganda hype.
If Russia seriously wanted to win the war they would just mobilise 4-5 million and do ww2 style charge and overwhelm Ukraine completely, but then again Russian economy/Logistics cant handle that today really and once dye is cast there is no turning back.
On other side, if we wanted Ukraine to win we would just send Ukraine everything they need long time ago, not 12 planes and 50 tanks at a time. This aint no star wars movie where every stormtrooper misses target 5 feet away from him, where we send 12 planes and Ukrainian pilot attacks Russian death star in its most weakest conveniently engineered spot and it blows up and Ukraine celebrates with wookies in the forest while Ukraine President burns body of Putin after he found out Putin is his father.
Reality is: Both sides dosing this war just enough for war to go on, nobody actually interested in ending this war because everyone who is in charge is profiting massively off it one way or the other. Simple people just pay the price.