Quote (Djunior @ 29 Apr 2024 11:55)
The industry is dated / turned into bombed out ruins, but this doesn't matter at all.
The resources are still in the ground and will only become more valuable over time.
The farmland will eventually be cleared of mines. Food, just like the other resources, will only become more valuable.
I don't see coal, oil or natural gas becoming more valuable over time, considering that a significant chunk of the world tries to phase out fossils.
Also, Russia already has large, unexplored fields in Siberia which it hasn't even begun to tap yet. The resources in Ukraine would be close to the European customers, but Russia just alienated them and it's not like the old fields which were serving Europe until 2022 were exhausted or close to capacity. Maybe the oil fields in the Donbass/Sea of Azov will become super valuable 300 years from now if the global oil reserves genuinely run out while we still need it as a component for producing plastic and such, but I don't see how it's a game changer for Russia in the short- or medium term.
Quote (Goomshill @ 29 Apr 2024 12:31)
Well some of the industrial area was seized (and razed) like Mariupol but yeah they've largely controlled it since 2014. The fighting now is over all those juicy farmlands and the gas basin to the east of the dnipro. Russia had something last year like 22% of the overall harvest? Its still a breadbasket and being underdeveloped and sparsely populated is why Russia is advancing faster now
The majority of the Ukrainian farmland still lies in regions not controlled by Russia, though. If that was their primary objective, they wouldn't stop at/be satisfied with Eastern Ukraine. Controlling 22% of Ukraine's harvest is a nice bonus for Russia, but it doesn't pass the smell test as the main justification for this war.
Sorry, but you guys are imho grasping at straws with all these different angles from which you try to justify this war or argue that it is a huge "win" for Russia. They reinvigorated NATO, got 1400km of new NATO border, used up their single-use "close the gas tap"-card, burnt through a large chunk of their irreplaceable soviet-era stockpiles, expended a significant chunk of their expendable population, alienated their best customers, increased their dependency on Beijing to dangerous levels, exposed the shortcomings of their military for the whole world to see, ran up their debt and alerted the West to its much more crucial vulnerability with regard to Taiwan - which, unlike Ukraine, is a true crown jewel in a technological/economic and geostrategic sense.
This post was edited by Black XistenZ on Apr 29 2024 05:36am