Quote (WickedDarkJuggalos @ Dec 3 2021 12:38am)
If we don’t stand up for Taiwan then you can basically kiss peace time goodbye.
In the hypothetical situation where China actually invades Taiwan, it would be insane to think they were not going after Japan soon after. Unless the states completely ignores our obligations to Japan, which at this point is actually likely, we will be going to war.
Unfortunately, there is real unrest within our military. You can say anything you want about our potential, but understand winning a real war is about believing in what you are fighting for.
There are so many fucked up beliefs becoming ever more popular. Who knows how many people will actually fight for this country in the near future.
Sure, I do see many bad things cascading from that, far more than just China's regional ambitions. However,
I don't think it's very realistic. In this day and age, any amphibious operation across the Taiwan Strait would be a death sentence for... jesus... probably 100,000s. It's a pretty long trip, and Taiwan is mostly mountainous, it's just about the worst logistical situation you can imagine. It might be the greatest military disaster/bloodbath to ever exist if it were to be carried out with a straight up conventional invasion. Which is why it's likely never to happen that way - inevitably a Chinese victory but not without sending a generation of young men to drown in the strait.
And certainly never going to happen to Japan, which would be 10 times harder to pull off than Taiwan.
I think the far more real and present threat is internal collapse within America, to the point where maintaining external alliances becomes a luxury. EVEN THEN I don't see China just moseying around East Asia, it isn't WW2, the kind of absolute carnage that sort of thing would bring would be such a destabilizing effect on any regime that it's just not likely to happen. The internet has pacified the human race, for better or for worse. Economic and cultural warfare are forever, though.
This post was edited by Nibthebarb on Dec 3 2021 03:46am