Quote (KungPeriodFu @ Mar 27 2020 07:03pm)
that's not gonna happen..
over 3 months in and there have only been 27k deaths and the virus is likely reached or very soon will reach its global peak (presuming it turns out to be a seasonal virus).
we can expect 50-70k deaths globally by the end of summer
"3 months in and only 27k deaths." "we can expect 50-70k deaths globally by the end of summer"
First of all, the majority of deaths came in the past 3 weeks. 21 days. Also, the coronavirus was around MID November. It could have been around a bit earlier but it's nearly impossible to know until you have a bunch of bad pneumonia cases or just some kind of crazy lung infections killing people. They never really test for for strains of stuff. We could have had a super super super bug in someone and lucked out cause no one contracted it lol. Anyways, think of this like an ant colony. When ONE queen ant goes out. It's just her by herself and she takes care of a dozen eggs. It takes time for those eggs to hatch and when they do....they will work for her. This is calculus for you man it's not to complicated lol. exponential growth but we we're shutting down cities and countries for a reason. To slow this shit down.
Unfortunately, you have to lock everyone down at once for 14-21+ days or you ONLY slow it down. Summer slows the flu down in many ways. Unfortunately summer does not slow this coronavirus down effectively. Which means this coronavirus will linger around until late fall-winter and attack us all again and force us to lock down. Numbers shows 600,000 positive. We all assume it's 1,000,000 - 1,500,000 and possibly even millions because we have countries that are not testing nation wide. Which means those pneumonia cases could be this coronavirus or another bad strain of the flu.
Testing made our numbers rapidly rise. Which is scary because that COULD mean that we have 100,000's more infected all over the place just isolating and hanging around. It might turn not to NOT be as deadly but it's spreading like a beast and if we do hit that 100 MILLION infected mark. We will have 1 million dead. We have two months to see if 1ish million can infect 99million through all these shutdowns-lockdowns.
They are right though. Without these lockdowns....we'd have 100s of millions infected and millions dead. we have USA college students partying by the 1000's and now they are going home to their home town. They started sending those students home the past 6 days. So we'll have a another spike in cases in 3-12 days right?
With almost 3000 dying every day right now from this and rapidly increasing...you're telling me it will be 50-70k deaths by summer? Summer is when? two more months right? 60 days. Or when is summer officially lol
once out lock downs are lifted we'll have one more wave before summer. all of these waves are tiny. It's like that queen making new colonies.
The real one will hit us this coming fall-winter lol. We might as well make a few billion test kits for that. There is no way to slow that shit down unless we test and shut down
Just letting you know. we're going to start hitting 4000-5000 deaths every 24 hours pretty soon here. So yeah. We also have a fuck ton of deaths from pneumonia that were never tested in november-december throughout the world.
wHERE AND how are you getting 50-70k deaths from this when the majority of those 27k deaths were within the last few weeks man lol