Quote (thundercock @ 27 May 2020 23:00)
Yes, I am advocating globalist policies because it benefits American consumers overall. A vast majority (almost 90%) of economists agree that free trade has a net benefit for society and that's a major tenet of economic globalism.
This assumption is coming under increasing fire. In particular, the increase in overall wealth coming from free trade doesnt have to be equally distributed between both sides. So, for example, if trade between the U.S. and China is producing a net benefit of $6 trillion, it's not guaranteed that $3 tr go to both sides, it's well possible that $5 tr go to China and only $1 tr goes to the U.S. Numbers of course chosen for illustration purposes. Since free trade always has a huge redistributive effect on the domestic economy and society (see the next section for details), free trade is only a net benefit for everyone in the U.S. if huge efforts are made to counteract this. If the upside of free trade is skewed between the trade partners like in the example above, doing so will become difficult even in the face of actual efforts; and it becomes less clear whether all of this is even worth the hassle.
What free trade always does is increase specialization. The theory of comparative cost advantage implies that the more advanced trade partner will specialize in complex and knowledge-based production steps while the less developed trade partner will specialize in the labor-intensive industries.
Therefore, it is perfectly in line with economic theory that what I would call the "professional class" is benefitting from globalization and free trade, while the domestic non-college, blue collar people are the big losers in the long run. In the developing country, the increase in industrial production and foreign investment flowing into the country create a lot of high-education jobs too, which easily offsets any potential losses their professional class might have had, so that virtually everyone there is better off thanks to free trade, leaving only the low productivity workers from the more advanced trade partner as the big losers.
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Yes, there are losers when we outsource but is that really different than production increases due to technology? There are certain skill sets that are obsolete and there's no reason to keep those jobs because it's inefficient and there's no demand for it.
You gotta be fucking kidding?! Free trade and globalization pits workers in an advanced economy with a strong social safety net (""strong"" in the case of the U.S. ...), strong workplace and strong environmental regulations against workers in a developing or emerging country with fuckall workplace and environmental standards. It's a rat race to the bottom and dramatically shifts the power balance between capital and labor in favor of the capital side. Bobb might write a lot of half-baked things, but he was spot on when he said that pitting domestic workers against cheaper foreign ones emasculates unions.
The tldr is relatively simple: free trade/neoliberal globalization = super profitable for the top 0.1%, modestly profitable for college-educated workers in knowledge-based industries, very bad for domestic non-college workers, modestly profitable for the blue collar workers in China/India/etc., very profitable for their emerging middle classes as well as their nomenklatura.
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I'm not saying we abandon the "economic losers" though and I would advocate policies that have a high probability of helping them but it depends on the industry. There is no one-size fits all solution for this.
Agreed, but that's not what happened. Jobs got outsourced and all society had to say to those affected was "Lol, tough luck! Stop being such an uneducated hillbillie and learn to program, or go find a job at McDonalds or something like that".
And then they wonder why these people voted for Trump.
The truth is that the groups advocating for free trade were never interested in creating a net profit for society and distributing it equitably, they only cared about the top 0.1% increasing their share of the pie by pitting domestic workers and domestic tax/regulation schemes against weaker foreign ones.
Quote (thundercock @ 27 May 2020 23:11)
No because the benefits are NOT short term and the economic ruin is NOT long term IF there are policies such as retraining programs, low-cost education, etc.
And that's a fundamental flaw in your line of reasoning: "it doesnt matter if we lose most of our low-qualification jobs to China and Mexico as long as we work hard enough to retrain and qualify the displaced workers". The cold hard truth, however, is that there is a bell curve for IQ/talent in every country and that many of the domestic low(er)-qualification workers who lost their job to outsourcing just dont have it in them to obtain a (meaningful) college education, to learn how to program or stuff like that. If we dont want large swaths of our domestic workers to languish on a mix of shitty jobs, welfare and opiods, we need to retain at least some low-qualification, low-productivity jobs which nonetheless pay a living wage and allow intellectually undertalented people to live a life in dignity.
This post was edited by Black XistenZ on May 27 2020 08:32pm