Quote (duffman316 @ Jan 4 2022 10:28am)
I was reading about omicron being less deadly a while ago. Are you saying you'd rather catch omicron than take either of the first 2 vaccine shots?
Paging ^Bazi
Why either instead of all of the above? If omicron is as non-deadly as the data suggests and yet gives you strong immune response against the deadly variants- which also stops their spread- that's a pretty good argument for it
Quote (EndlessSky @ Jan 4 2022 10:55am)
Catching Omicron without a vaccine has the same profile of death rates as catching Delta with a vaccine. You're rolling the dice though, because all three variants are still active though. However, Omicron is going to become the most common by April because it is the most transmissible.
Quote (Bazi @ Jan 4 2022 10:57am)
omicron same severity to unvax if you’re hospitalized, but hospitalization rate is less
2 vax + booster - mild to no symptoms.
Delta had 5-15% hospitalization rate with vax’d (primarily elderly or immunosuppressed)
Omicron closer to 5% hospitalization rate vax’d (also elderly and immunosuppressed)
Henry Ford doing a large trial on omicron vax vs unvax hospitalization rates, hospitalization length, Covid complications , etc. probly a good month before that Data is out tho
To say omicron is inconsequential as someone above said is laughable. There are still a large amount of unvax’d people and although overall more benign, based on sheer level of transmissibility you are seeing a lot of hospitalizations.
Go to your local ER and enjoy a 6 hour wait, for any medical problem or issue.
Hospitalization rates and waiting times aren't a good indicator, especially given the competing issues of large amounts of asymptomatic / non-serious cases at hospitals being reported at the same time as hospitals being short staffed due to employees on covid quarantine from omicron / fired due to no vaccination.
Since the beginning of the pandemic I've said that the excess death rate is the only measure that's actually grounded in hard data you can trust. The hospitalization rates, reported related deaths, anecdotal evidence, etc etc are all subject to bias and misrepresentation and rarely show causal relationships, like NY reporting any death with a covid positive test in the past 90 days. When the covid pandemic hit the first spike, the excess deaths at national, state and local levels suddenly skyrocketed- it was clear people were dying from covid en masse. But now omicron is spreading like wildfire with several times the size of that surge, and excess deaths haven't even budged. South Africa has already finished its wave of omicron and there's no excess deaths at all from it, reported deaths at their lowest level since the pandemic began.
There's no way that this data can be sold to say that omicron is 1/3 as deadly as previous variants. If it was 1/3 as deadly and yet affecting 5x as many people in NYC, we'd see a huge number of deaths in NYC with 20% of the state unvaccinated. It would be immediately statistically identifiable. Right now, the effects of Omicron are so mild that its indistinguishable from background noise
This post was edited by Goomshill on Jan 4 2022 12:03pm