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May 4 2022 10:53am
Quote (Ironfister @ May 4 2022 12:33pm)
Russia gas isn't cheap, of course Russians give you some discounts, like 10%, to make up for an European blood but that's it. They need a lot of money for missiles to kill people and conquer nationa, so they wont give you gas half price, as you maybe imagine.

Ever heard about renewables? Nuclear energy? Green hydrogen?
Very clean, endless sources of energy. And ones that Russia doesnt close as they recently did officially (Poland/Bulgaria) or unofficially (Germany).

It was the Germany and France that blocked Ukraine way into NATO.
They wanted to keep Putin glad and happy.
Now we see where this kind of thinking led us in Europe, we have a war right now on EU border.


Russian gas isn't cheap compared to what other gas source?

Yes I have, and why hasn't Europe switched to those energy sources in the last 20, 10 years? Why not now? Instead Germany is turning off nuclear reactors, instead Poland is using more coal? You live in Poland, why is Poland asking for gas from Germany instead of switching to the sources you listed in the last 10 years since you yourself admit that Russia has been a threat? Maybe because it's not realistic, maybe because those sources are either not as reliable or affordable?
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May 4 2022 11:29am
Quote (Ironfister @ May 4 2022 04:53pm)
Bolded is wrong attitude. 4th biggest economy and producer of the world.
You guys just arent commited enough.
Its not only about military things.


thats just the unqualified opinion of somebody, who has nothing to do with this

i will never defend this government, but there is no obligation to self destruct

Quote (Hamsterbaby @ May 4 2022 06:39pm)
Will increase the prices of Energy and it will be a huge burden to the people in Germany.
The people facing problems right now has not reach the german public yet.

The SMEs will be the first to fall in Germany.


the current status is already a massive burden, our average joe gets impoverished even more to support the sanctions

Quote (Ironfister @ May 4 2022 06:33pm)
Russia gas isn't cheap, of course Russians give you some discounts, like 10%, to make up for an European blood but that's it. They need a lot of money for missiles to kill people and conquer nationa, so they wont give you gas half price, as you maybe imagine.

Ever heard about renewables? Nuclear energy? Green hydrogen?
Very clean, endless sources of energy. And ones that Russia doesnt close as they recently did officially (Poland/Bulgaria) or unofficially (Germany).

It was the Germany and France that blocked Ukraine way into NATO.
They wanted to keep Putin glad and happy.
Now we see where this kind of thinking led us in Europe, we have a war right now on EU border.


this statement is just not very smart

of course russian pipeline gas is cheap, thats why we encouraged households and industry to get it

ukraine was not going to be accepted into NATO anyway back then regardless of who blocked what

i am not even gonna start to dismantle the renewable energy argument, but i am glad you mentioned nuclear

quitting nuclear power is the dumbest thing ever, but russia is a big supplier there as well btw

the last time a country got supported like ukraine was in WW2, we already did more than actually can be justified
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May 4 2022 12:16pm
Quote (Hamsterbaby @ 4 May 2022 19:52)
Tried to, was unsuccessful :lol:
The president that the USA support is now in the States.

But due to this Ukraine War,
they are considering recognizing Maduro now and get him to provide the much needed energy product and are working towards lifting all sanctions in Venezuela .


So they gonna sell Venezuelan oil to Europe? Isn't in banned already? Or is it going to be kosher "American blend"?
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May 4 2022 12:19pm
Concentration camps, sterilization, for the increasing number of Russian people who have shown opposition to Russia's invasion of Ukraine.

https://www.newsweek.com/putin-ally-warns-russia-may-use-concentration-camps-enemies-no-mercy-1703536

/nb;

Russia: Activists held over 'invisible posters'

https://www.bbc.com/news/blogs-news-from-elsewhere-26936770

:lol:

This post was edited by Saucisson6000 on May 4 2022 12:25pm
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May 4 2022 12:25pm
Quote (Norlander @ 5 May 2022 02:16)
So they gonna sell Venezuelan oil to Europe? Isn't in banned already? Or is it going to be kosher "American blend"?


Venezuela Oil will not be ban anymore because " Russia " is a bigger threat.
What will happen is , Oil and Gas will be shipped from Venezuela to USA ?
And The Oil and Gas company in USA will re shipped to Europe ?

Something along that line. Maybe
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May 4 2022 07:43pm
Quote (duffman316 @ May 5 2022 04:16am)


*enemy combatants* (they learned from the best)

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May 4 2022 08:04pm
Quote (ofthevoid @ 4 May 2022 18:31)
There is a fair amount of places where gas can be extracted from the problem is distance and infrastructure. The US, Arab peninsula, Africa, Venezuela, can all supply Europe with gas but just look at a map and look at the distance between Germany and Russia and Germany and the US or Germany and UAE or Germany and Venezuela. One is next door with supply lines already established and reliable the others are half a world away.


Quote (Hamsterbaby @ 4 May 2022 18:39)
Will increase the prices of Energy and it will be a huge burden to the people in Germany.
The people facing problems right now has not reach the german public yet.

The SMEs will be the first to fall in Germany.

Which goes back to what I already wrote in this thread a month ago: an embargo on Russian natural gas would be economical suicide for Europe. Yes, Europe, not just Germany. Russian gas cannot be replaced in an economically feasible fashion anytime soon.

I'm even against this stupid embargo on Russian oil that the EU is proposing atm - it will only lead to a reshuffling of the global oil market. If Europe no longer buys Russian oil, Russia will sell its excess oil production to China and India, ofc at a discount compared to the prices they achieved from the EU. The Chinese and Indians will then buy less from other suppliers on the oil market like the Gulf states. The EU will then buy up the OPEC oil which was freed up this way at a premium to replace the Russian oil.

At the end of the day, transport costs for oil on the global market will increase because more shipping is necessary as opposed to the cheaper pipelines, Europe will pay more for the same amount of oil, China and India less. OPEC will get somewhat higher profit margins. The effect on Russian finances is hard to predict; they will sell less and at a discount, but the turmoil and supply squeeze on the global markets will increase the price of oil, which counteracts these losses. Every scenario between Russia taking a medium-sized hit to Russia actually achieving higher revenue than before the sanctions seems feasible. This oil embargo is counterproductive for Europe and will most likely do fuck all to undermine Russia's economy in the long run.




Quote (ofthevoid @ 4 May 2022 18:04)
Because ze Germans can do math and being committed means self-destructing. In the long run Europe needs a relationship with Russia for resources, there's no other way.
[...]
So realistically, if Norway was the sole supplier Norway would deplete their gas reserves in 3 years approximately. There's other suppliers like Algeria or the ME but you need years for the infrastructure to be built to be able to bring that gas over much longer distances (which means higher costs). North Africa and the ME are also not bastions of stability so to put all your faith in that supply chain panning out is dumb. US LNG is a thing but once again, very expensive compared to Russian gas next door.

It's such a tragedy really. Russia and Europe would be natural allies who could have such a symbiotic relationship.... if only the Russians weren't such miserable, antagonistic cunts. In the same vein, the Russian people could have a decent living if it wasn't getting plundered by its corrupt, greedy elite. The country has a tiny population relative to its size and its vast natural resources. If Russian leadership had given a larger share of the commodity revenues to its people and invested into diversifying and strengthening its economy, they could have such a bright future. *sigh*

This post was edited by Black XistenZ on May 4 2022 08:09pm
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May 5 2022 12:09am
Quote (Black XistenZ @ May 5 2022 05:04am)
It's such a tragedy really. Russia and Europe would be natural allies who could have such a symbiotic relationship.... if only the Russians weren't such miserable, antagonistic cunts.


You mean if it wasn't for US policies vis a vis NATO and Russia, and trying to drive a wedge because it would be the prime loser in such a scenario.
Europe and Russia allies can't happen unless the eastern European countries (primarily Ukraine and Poland) are neutral.
Instead they are weaponized by USA as puppets encircle, weaken, and project power into Russia.
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May 5 2022 12:13am
Quote (ofthevoid @ 4 May 2022 18:53)
Russian gas isn't cheap compared to what other gas source?

Yes I have, and why hasn't Europe switched to those energy sources in the last 20, 10 years? Why not now? Instead Germany is turning off nuclear reactors, instead Poland is using more coal? You live in Poland, why is Poland asking for gas from Germany instead of switching to the sources you listed in the last 10 years since you yourself admit that Russia has been a threat? Maybe because it's not realistic, maybe because those sources are either not as reliable or affordable?


I believe are justified in current war situation in Europe, that coal isn't that bad. At least one doesnt fund Russia missiles with it, lol.
Coal usage can still be compensated with some trees/forests, and while renewables are great from spring till mid autumn, they cant really alone work in winter, they need some support from either fossils or green hydrogen (stored excess energy from summer) in the winter.
I believe it was the wrong decision to shut down german nuclear plants. I know, there was this accident in Japan, but we dont have earthquakes in Europe. In Poland we want a nuclear plant, and will hopefully get some.
Energy prices were cheap, and Europe relied too much on Russia gas. We need to speed it up now to move away.
Im aware we cant fully get rid of russian gas this winter without limiting our economy. But what about next year? Or in 2 years? Seems doable to me.
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