Quote (Black XistenZ @ Oct 30 2020 09:22pm)
Well, to be fair, the US seem to be 1-2 weeks behind Europe in the current surge. I wouldnt be surprised if you see daily numbers in excess of 200k per day by the end of November.
What's interesting, however, is that there are big surges in Illinois and Michigan at the moment - Whitmer's strict course on the pandemic seems unable to stop the tide.
My personal, preliminary takeaway from all those various observations is that seasonality/weather and spatial effects play a bigger role than initially thought, while the impact of political decisions on the general course of the pandemic seems overrated.
Another issue is the PCR tests themselves
Expert biologists recommend running ~25 threshold cycles of PCR but depending on the manufacturer some tests use ~35 threshold cycles, in which a piece of fruit cpuld test positive.
The tests dont detect viral load either. Cases below a certain viral load are noncontagious.
The drop in death rate is support for all of this.
Quote (IceMage @ Oct 30 2020 10:03am)
https://twitter.com/Acyn/status/1322001939266109441Don Jr: Death numbers are down to almost nothing.
There were around 1,000 COVID deaths yesterday.
It's incomprehensible to me that any reasonable person can support a political coalition made up of people who say stuff like that. It's complete madness.
7000 people die every day. It is significant but not worthy of destroying our civilization.
This post was edited by EndlessSky on Oct 30 2020 07:31pm