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Apr 22 2019 11:58am
Quote (Ghot @ Apr 22 2019 10:57am)
I wonder if Yang's wife is named... Ying?


do you mean Yin?
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Apr 22 2019 12:07pm
Quote (Beowulf @ Apr 22 2019 01:58pm)
do you mean Yin?




W/e. It's been a long day, and it's not over yet. And yeah, I did mean Yin. :D




/e




This post was edited by Ghot on Apr 22 2019 12:09pm
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Apr 22 2019 12:09pm
Quote (thesnipa @ Apr 22 2019 10:55am)
so just as a simple illustration of how incorrect your math is:



so 25% of what you just estimated as the cost, $2bn, comes of instantly with welfare spending. boom, gone, poof.

i agree wholeheartedly that it needs research and a lot of math done, just saying dont build on whatever figures you're using now, they're wildly inaccurate.



don't worry about it, Andrew Yang, the guy saying it wouldn't stack has said it about 20x publicly.

I wonder if Ghut's wife is named..... doesn't exist?



The 500 bil you’re quoting is for everyone including under 18 and over 65 so if you exclude those two needy groups that deducted 500 bil becomes a lot less.

I looked it up, ~63% of us population is between 18-65

So that 2 trillion would actually be higher and the deductible 500 bil would be lower since it includes under 18 over 65.

Like I said not against his plan but his numbers need to be ran by professionals who don’t just have homer googles on
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Apr 22 2019 12:15pm
Quote (ofthevoid @ Apr 22 2019 12:09pm)
The 500 bil you’re quoting is for everyone including under 18 and over 65 so if you exclude those two needy groups that deducted 500 bil becomes a lot less.

I looked it up, ~63% of us population is between 18-65

So that 2 trillion would actually be higher and the deductible 500 bil would be lower since it includes under 18 over 65.

Like I said not against his plan but his numbers need to be ran by professionals who don’t just have homer googles on


you're making several mistakes in the math, some excusable because of Yang's public "ask", some less excusable because of the groups he's excluding from the benefit. which he's discussed at length.

1k$/adult/month is a silly number to assume would make it through legislation. that's excusable because it's Yang's ask, but you can't take the number as credible. 1.) it's a convenient number to catch eyes 2.) it's inflated due to being an ask. something like 300-500$/month is far more credible. as is a heavy restriction the age group who can get it.

you have to remove all social security beneficiaries as well as welfare recipients then take off all food stamps. so many adults would get like 50-200$/month removed due to food stamps right away. early recipients of s/s (disabled, etc) and those taking it get excluded. obviously Yang hasn't talked about s/s because he'd actually like to win, OR he's considering phasing out s/s altogether.

the math is just a bit silly tho coming from the "entitlement reform is needed now because entitlements take up most of the budget", endlesscry will never shut up about it. well all that "spending" is a reduction in the cost of UBI. right off the top, like cream from the tank.

Quote (Ghot @ Apr 22 2019 12:16pm)
Pretty sure Void made a triple zero mistake. I came up with $1.8 trillion a year. Assuming I'm correct, then that $445 billion is nothing.


nothing, except 25% off the total cost, immediately, with no other factors accounted for, but more factors coming.

that's like saying a 25% off coupon for a car is nothing, when you have more discounts that haven't even been factored in. :wacko:

desperate to make a point?

This post was edited by thesnipa on Apr 22 2019 12:17pm
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Apr 22 2019 12:16pm


We are talking trillions/year. Can you say deficit like nothing we've ever seen before?
He also want's medicare for all, free college etc.

This post was edited by Ghot on Apr 22 2019 12:18pm
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Apr 22 2019 12:16pm
Quote (thesnipa @ Apr 22 2019 12:50pm)
the situation currently developing is like the industrial revolution but about 100x worse with far less solutions.

key difference being employment elimination vs displacement. the car, the baseball seamer, and other advancements displaced labor, and the available positions one could find without any retaining were vast.

as compared to today, in which labor is being eliminated, because of the lack of congruent jobs elsewhere in the market, and the need for training.

me personally? i'm just a guy with a bachelors in criminal justice, with half a law degree, then a technical cert in drafting, and project management, with most of my credits done for mechanical design bachelors to round it out. but hey, what do i know about seeking training for employment or anything....

the fact is that your, or my, expectations about what people should do aren't equal to what they do do. people dont seek training, by-and-large, and economically depressed areas are created and lie stagnant. Flynt, Baltimore, DC, Detroit, Chicago, etc. when the unskilled labor dries up for a population bred on it's neverending existence stagnant pockets of poverty are created and we haven't shown any ability to fix them yet. do i suggest training and many other things, of course. do i expect it to just fix it, even UBI, nope.



p.s. corporations don't have a choice, they will eliminate too much demand by automating if they dont fund UBI. they know it and have already started making plans.


Your first two paragraphs are of the sense that you dont realize we are advancing as a species and populations arent keeping up. There will be enough work to do on this planet. Thinking elsewise is very silly. Now, if you are incapable of doing that work, then yes you need to seek training, i.e. survive....and it should not be difficult with the wonderful internet to help you.

And i can give you my credentials and certificates too but that doesnt mean much when people are handed them like hotcakes these days as just a way to get through

There are leaders in those areas who are elected to serve the needs. Not my personal fault nor responsibility that they are incompetent or corrupt and inable to provide you with your needs.

I don't see why its difficult to recognize that giving people nearly anything will solve their woes... but the again what do i know im bit given pretty much anything besides opportunities
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Apr 22 2019 12:29pm
Quote (Duckling @ Apr 22 2019 12:16pm)
Your first two paragraphs are of the sense that you dont realize we are advancing as a species and populations arent keeping up. There will be enough work to do on this planet. Thinking elsewise is very silly. Now, if you are incapable of doing that work, then yes you need to seek training, i.e. survive....and it should not be difficult with the wonderful internet to help you.

And i can give you my credentials and certificates too but that doesnt mean much when people are handed them like hotcakes these days as just a way to get through

There are leaders in those areas who are elected to serve the needs. Not my personal fault nor responsibility that they are incompetent or corrupt and inable to provide you with your needs.

I don't see why its difficult to recognize that giving people nearly anything will solve their woes... but the again what do i know im bit given pretty much anything besides opportunities


i really have to thank you, normally it takes me a few pages to figure out the other person is too entrenched to even listen to what i'm saying.

i'm talking about preventing the next major housing crisis and economic collapse that is impending in the next few decades. you're talking about the next 200 years or so of human development.

i've asked you twice now what you think is going to happen with the adults that are 50ish. since we know by-and-large they won't retrain that close to retirement, or at least one of us seems to.

you can be callous about people that will suffer, that doesnt bother me, but denying that suffering is coming is just ignorant.

Quote
do i suggest training and many other things, of course. do i expect it to just fix it, even UBI, nope


Quote
I don't see why its difficult to recognize that giving people nearly anything will solve their woes... but the again what do i know im bit given pretty much anything besides opportunities


if u read better u could save on the confusion afterwards.

This post was edited by thesnipa on Apr 22 2019 12:42pm
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Apr 22 2019 12:52pm
Quote (thesnipa @ Apr 22 2019 01:29pm)
i really have to thank you, normally it takes me a few pages to figure out the other person is too entrenched to even listen to what i'm saying.

i'm talking about preventing the next major housing crisis and economic collapse that is impending in the next few decades. you're talking about the next 200 years or so of human development.

i've asked you twice now what you think is going to happen with the adults that are 50ish. since we know by-and-large they won't retrain that close to retirement, or at least one of us seems to.

you can be callous about people that will suffer, that doesnt bother me, but denying that suffering is coming is just ignorant.





if u read better u could save on the confusion afterwards.


people will have to do their necessaries to adapt that are in their 50ishes ... believe me, i have parents and I'm watching it myself, but to put all our attention on that is not a good idea imho...

and now if you make it for everyone its not a good idea for young people who need to develop.

perhaps i need an example specific of how someone is going to be unable to train/stay employed with an income / provide for themselves?
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Apr 22 2019 02:23pm
Quote (Duckling @ Apr 22 2019 01:52pm)
people will have to do their necessaries to adapt that are in their 50ishes ... believe me, i have parents and I'm watching it myself, but to put all our attention on that is not a good idea imho...

and now if you make it for everyone its not a good idea for young people who need to develop.

perhaps i need an example specific of how someone is going to be unable to train/stay employed with an income / provide for themselves?


what about people who live paycheck to paycheck?
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Apr 22 2019 02:32pm
Quote (Ghot @ Apr 22 2019 01:57pm)
I wonder if Yang's wife is named... Ying?


Andrew Yang’s wife’s last name is... Yang.
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