Quote (ferdia @ 27 Apr 2022 11:12)
By no earlier then 2019 the Ukrainian government, which I do not believe had been elected on a mandate to go to war with Russia, accelerated events which directly led to this war. They knew that what they were doing would lead to war and they did it anyway. The Ukrainian government did not bother to tell their people what was going to happen years in the future, months in the future or days in the future.
Totally disagree. First of all, the 1st Russia attack was in 2014, Ukraine was surprised, unprepared and lost some territories. But also Putin didnt decide for a fullscale war yet. Maybe he was simply younger and still had time back then. So in 2019 UA were simply preparing for another round.
When you think about Russia attack, it was wrong decision to attack. What they gain?
They lost a lot of army, a lot of equipment, a lot of expensive missiles were fired.
West is more United than ever and will get rid of russian resources soon, so RU wont be able to spend oil&gas money on arms.
Finland and Sweden are joining NATO.
Russia economy suffers a lot, and will suffer more with time at sanctions.
Russia cannot balance between West and china anymore, they need to turn 100% to China now, China will vassalize them.
Myth about 2nd most powerful army is gone.
So it was a bad decision to attack, unfortunately sometimes people in charge make bad decisions.
What was the alternative for Ukraine? Surrender from the start? Join the evil Empire and help Russia attack more countries? Let the Russians do anything with them, like a great starvation? Let them rape their woman at will? Which is better for them?
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Now the West, under the leadership of the US, is sending them so many weapons so as to weaken Russia. Yes Russia is corrupt. Yes Russia invaded Ukraine. Yes they are committing war crimes. The overarching issue with everything happening right now is that Russia is a superpower. Declining, yes, but a superpower nevertheless. This means they are massive and have a crap ton of nukes. The current narrative I am seeing in this thread is:
1. who cares lets just start WW3
2. we are calling their bluff
3. we want the whole world against russia and we want to put them back into the stone age
However, Russia simply will not roll over or be "defeated". defeated means, they are invaded, putin is removed from office and they hand over all their nukes. that is not going to happen. Therefore this war cannot be seen like any of the past wars in the last 60+ years. It is for this reason that when I see the west continue to escalate the situation I am terrified of the Russian response. Each response Russia makes at this point will be seen as "a further escalation" when in fact is it a tit for tat. I see the west then simply being more resolved to double down. That escalates quickly. YES it would be great if we beat Russia, if Putin was removed and a moderate came in to replace him. But thats Alice in Wonderland or Narnia thinking. I dont know best case scenario but I know worst case scenario.
I honestly dont care about Russia switching off the gas, exports etc. I care about the escalation of war. if YOUR country was BOMBED would you want to retaliate ? Its not a difficult logic. So, when Russia gets bombed (not shying away from the fact that Russia is bombing the shit out of Ukraine alright), expect Russia to seek to retaliate - which will escalate the war. The West is a runaway train. When you are in a runaway train heading off a cliff it would be helpful if someone questioned the speed at which your going and when it would be a good stage to stop the train.
We are lucky that Ukraine fights back and we stop Russia invasion there and not let them test NATO.
Who would fight back when Russia attacks NATO/Europe?
Poland is too weak to stop them, not to mention most people would simply run away.
German? Currently very low on their army. French? They already surrendered to nazi quickly.
NATO? What if next USA president says "screw these European cowards, im not risking my soldiers if they dont want to fight properly themselves".
Sometimes a proper way is not to run away, but stand United.
In fact Putin can stop the war anytime, and declare himself a winner in his TV, saying that "nazi were killed and Ukraine people are now free from nazi oppression" .
Russian people will probably eat it. Average Russian would be gład that the war is over and things are coming back to normal.
This post was edited by Ironfister on Apr 27 2022 09:55am