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Apr 26 2022 08:03pm
Quote (Goomshill @ Apr 26 2022 07:27pm)
I answered it by making the rhetorical point: Its not about reducing conflicts to some moralizing black and white view of innocent victims and aggressors.
We deposed a tyrant in Iraq, sure. And what was the result? A vastly worse outcome for everyone in Iraq and Syria than what Saddam had accomplished with his violent repression. Turns out a tyrant was a necessary evil, a positive net good, and our 'liberation' resulted in massacres in atrocities for a decade.

Russia has a valid claim to say that its responding to NATO aggression in a country seized in a coup, and both sides of the conflict are obviously committing war crimes- this is an eastern european war after all. There's no moral righteousness to narrowminded views of a conflict that will just get more people killed and displaced and cities razed. We aren't willing to invest the actual military force to confront Russia directly that would be needed to stop the war in Ukraine's favor, for all the same perils that we're still risking spiraling into with our schizophrenic foreign policy. We wouldn't save Ukraine, and we wouldn't let it pass back into Russia's control, so instead we're cutting the baby in half


what war crimes has ukraine committed against russia?

i read into what was going on in 2014 and came away with the conclusion that there isn't really any "good guys" in there but russia is certainly the greater evil here

as for the willingness to confront russia i think the west is going about this in the only way it may be able to defeat russia without triggering ww3
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Apr 26 2022 11:39pm
Quote (Goomshill @ 26 Apr 2022 23:25)
What could possibly go wrong with a plan of falling back on other EU countries to pick up the slack when antagonizing the same source that supplies all those EU countries?
Poland has no more winter to survive this year, it was always going to be about next winter. And between now and then, with NATO on a war path with Russia, those international supply lines can't be considered reliable. Its not going to be just Poland shouldering a burden if Russia is weaponizing its control of gas exports. And imagine the sole LNG bottleneck at Swinoujscie getting hit by mysterious explosions like those affecting Russian industry right now. When Russia cuts off the gas, its going to be a scarce commodity across Europe from all its sources, be it Norwegian pipelines or American LNG, and every country is going to scrambling to keep their people warm in the winter. Pressure will be exerted on everyone. Maybe Scholz aka Nu-Merkel will take a sudden pivot to Germany First to ensure their share of gas. I'd get a kick out of it


USA has increased their gas exports by 600% since 2018, and will increase again this year.
Im aware it might get little short for EU this year if Russia decides to cut all EU.
There are also some EU countries that have no sea access, or no terminals, so are dependant on other countries to transport gas.
Remember EU master plan is to cut Russian gas import by 70% this year.
Gas is bad anyway because it produces co2, we should use more clean energy, it will be a good side of this war.
In the meantime we should stick to reliable producers like USA, even if Russians gives us discount, because:
1) we help Russians buy missiles that kills Innocent people
2) its better to pay more and be sure your partner wont cut you.
But I dont believe Russia will cut gas from whole EU, because they need money.
Cutting one country is different than cutting 27.
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Apr 26 2022 11:55pm
Quote (Santara @ 27 Apr 2022 00:55)
Some deal, right?

"We'll stop killing you if you give up half your country. Have fun with all the damage we did. Hope there's no hard feelings."


If they consider Ukraine as an enemy country, why limit yourself at half country?
Assume they take half country, and 3 months later they say: "ohh, there are still nazists in other half, we need to liberate that other half too".
They have already asked to give out nukes for peace. Ukraine given out nukes, but Russia broke their promise.
How do you know they wont break their promise again?
Trust a villain does not seem like a good option.
There is plenty of space in cold Syberia to move Ukrainians there.
And they already did "great hunger" in Ukraine in the past, they sure know how to kill the entire nation.
If I were to die, I would like to die at war, and not in the Russian concentration/work camp.
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Apr 27 2022 01:15am
Quote (Ironfister @ Apr 27 2022 06:55am)
If they consider Ukraine as an enemy country, why limit yourself at half country?
Assume they take half country, and 3 months later they say: "ohh, there are still nazists in other half, we need to liberate that other half too".
They have already asked to give out nukes for peace. Ukraine given out nukes, but Russia broke their promise.
How do you know they wont break their promise again?
Trust a villain does not seem like a good option.
There is plenty of space in cold Syberia to move Ukrainians there.
And they already did "great hunger" in Ukraine in the past, they sure know how to kill the entire nation.
If I were to die, I would like to die at war, and not in the Russian concentration/work camp.


if they wanted all of ukraine they would not have pulled back from the capital. If you watched the video posted 2 days ago you would have seen that the ukrainian government in 2019 expected the encirclement of the capital (in 2021-2022!) but were not worried about it.

This post was edited by ferdia on Apr 27 2022 01:16am
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Apr 27 2022 02:02am
Quote (ferdia @ 27 Apr 2022 09:15)
if they wanted all of ukraine they would not have pulled back from the capital. If you watched the video posted 2 days ago you would have seen that the ukrainian government in 2019 expected the encirclement of the capital (in 2021-2022!) but were not worried about it.


They pulled back because they were beaten there, otherwise they would be encircled - this is the thing everybody avoids when being at war.
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Apr 27 2022 03:12am
Quote (Ironfister @ Apr 27 2022 09:02am)
They pulled back because they were beaten there, otherwise they would be encircled - this is the thing everybody avoids when being at war.


If you can provide a source to prove that they were about to be encircled, i will read it and consider my position on events. I have already stated the reasons why I believe they retreated. If you have not read that, feel free to do so (or not).

It is normal for Poland to be 100% inline with the US Government, noting no other government on the planet has supported Poland as much as the USA since WW2, and yes the US has been the world's policeman since before I was born. Successive English governments also hate Russia so I can see why you would favor both of those countries. Indeed, I also favor both the US and England over the majority of other countries in the western world and would have been brought up West is Best.

Ukraine before the war was a country with different groups (and ideologies) contained within it. It is a fact that they have bad elements and it is a fact that the government has been ramping up for this war for years. Now, we have already had the conversation re: Ukraine is independent and what not, and there are helpful video's and conversations in this thread which have outlined what happened which led to this. The fact remains (to me at least) that America has pursued its interests via unlawful war around the world for decades and, as an example, invading Iraq was a mistake. This war in Ukraine was years in the making. The US started sending weapons to Ukraine in 2014. By no earlier then 2019 the Ukrainian government, which I do not believe had been elected on a mandate to go to war with Russia, accelerated events which directly led to this war. They knew that what they were doing would lead to war and they did it anyway. The Ukrainian government did not bother to tell their people what was going to happen years in the future, months in the future or days in the future.

Now the West, under the leadership of the US, is sending them so many weapons so as to weaken Russia. Yes Russia is corrupt. Yes Russia invaded Ukraine. Yes they are committing war crimes. The overarching issue with everything happening right now is that Russia is a superpower. Declining, yes, but a superpower nevertheless. This means they are massive and have a crap ton of nukes. The current narrative I am seeing in this thread is:

1. who cares lets just start WW3
2. we are calling their bluff
3. we want the whole world against russia and we want to put them back into the stone age

However, Russia simply will not roll over or be "defeated". defeated means, they are invaded, putin is removed from office and they hand over all their nukes. that is not going to happen. Therefore this war cannot be seen like any of the past wars in the last 60+ years. It is for this reason that when I see the west continue to escalate the situation I am terrified of the Russian response. Each response Russia makes at this point will be seen as "a further escalation" when in fact is it a tit for tat. I see the west then simply being more resolved to double down. That escalates quickly. YES it would be great if we beat Russia, if Putin was removed and a moderate came in to replace him. But thats Alice in Wonderland or Narnia thinking. I dont know best case scenario but I know worst case scenario.

I honestly dont care about Russia switching off the gas, exports etc. I care about the escalation of war. if YOUR country was BOMBED would you want to retaliate ? Its not a difficult logic. So, when Russia gets bombed (not shying away from the fact that Russia is bombing the shit out of Ukraine alright), expect Russia to seek to retaliate - which will escalate the war. The West is a runaway train. When you are in a runaway train heading off a cliff it would be helpful if someone questioned the speed at which your going and when it would be a good stage to stop the train.

This post was edited by ferdia on Apr 27 2022 03:33am
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Apr 27 2022 03:56am
Quote (duffman316 @ Apr 26 2022 09:03pm)
what war crimes has ukraine committed against russia?

i read into what was going on in 2014 and came away with the conclusion that there isn't really any "good guys" in there but russia is certainly the greater evil here

as for the willingness to confront russia i think the west is going about this in the only way it may be able to defeat russia without triggering ww3


Murdering POWs is why we hung Nazis at Nuremberg. The Nazis in Ukraine not only posted videos of themselves torturing and murdering POWs multiple times, but their military even made an official public order that they would execute any artillerymen they captured. A more direct war crime than Hitler's Kommandobefehl, which at least had the pretense of executing spies and saboteurs yet clearly extended to uniformed soldiers, hence Hitler's secrecy around it. The Ukrainian military directly told their troops to execute uniformed soldiers taken captive, right out in public.
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Apr 27 2022 04:12am
Germany send 50 tanks in ukraine to roll over Putin's boots lickers. GREAT.
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Apr 27 2022 04:13am
Quote (Goomshill @ 27 Apr 2022 12:56)
Murdering POWs is why we hung Nazis at Nuremberg. The Nazis in Ukraine not only posted videos of themselves torturing and murdering POWs multiple times, but their military even made an official public order that they would execute any artillerymen they captured. A more direct war crime than Hitler's Kommandobefehl, which at least had the pretense of executing spies and saboteurs yet clearly extended to uniformed soldiers, hence Hitler's secrecy around it. The Ukrainian military directly told their troops to execute uniformed soldiers taken captive, right out in public.


Ukrainian officials like former deputy of Internal Affair (now coordinator of Business Protection Office within the Ministry of Internal Affair) Anton Heraschenko even post executions, dead bodies etc in their Telegram (about ~600k). Search for Pravda_Geraschenko. Hitler's legacy blooms wild in Ukraine.
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Apr 27 2022 04:40am
Quote (Goomshill @ Apr 27 2022 12:56pm)
Murdering POWs is why we hung Nazis at Nuremberg. The Nazis in Ukraine not only posted videos of themselves torturing and murdering POWs multiple times, but their military even made an official public order that they would execute any artillerymen they captured. A more direct war crime than Hitler's Kommandobefehl, which at least had the pretense of executing spies and saboteurs yet clearly extended to uniformed soldiers, hence Hitler's secrecy around it. The Ukrainian military directly told their troops to execute uniformed soldiers taken captive, right out in public.


Source?
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