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Apr 26 2022 05:05pm
Quote (duffman316 @ Apr 26 2022 05:59pm)
Do you deny russia is the aggressor invading a sovereign nation and commiting acts of genocide?


Do you deny that Iraq had weapons of mass destruction and Saddam was an evil dictator who needed to be deposed for the good of the world?
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Apr 26 2022 05:06pm
Quote (Goomshill @ Apr 26 2022 07:05pm)
Do you deny that Iraq had weapons of mass destruction and Saddam was an evil dictator who needed to be deposed for the good of the world?


I dont believe they had wmds but i am in favour of tyrannicide

Are you going to answer my question?

This post was edited by duffman316 on Apr 26 2022 05:07pm
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Apr 26 2022 05:09pm
Quote (Goomshill @ Apr 26 2022 03:43pm)
"Don't attack Russia and Russia won't attacks us" isn't that hard of a logic to follow.
If we decided to nuke Moscow, the Russians would fire retaliatory nukes. Is it so insane for us to say "We shouldn't nuke Russia first". Does it become "Russia is free to do whatever they want, because we won't nuke them"?

We're not talking about scenarios where Russia is attacking NATO in a first strike, we're talking about NATO attacking Russia and Russia retaliating. Which has been basically the entire pre, during and post-cold war theme and the story of Putin's foreign policy. We plant first strike missiles in Turkey, they plant first strike missiles in Cuba. We expel diplomats, they expel diplomats. We meddle in their elections, they meddle in our elections. We seize control of Ukraine by way of a coup, they seize control of Ukraine by way of an invasion. We attack the Russian mainland- what comes next? Fill in that line


You're ignoring something very, very simple. Russia can get the EXACT same results by attacking areas near Lviv (and other corridors where weapons are coming in) as opposed to areas in actual Poland. They can attack rail stations (and have!), major highways, etc. inside Ukraine. Why are you struggling so hard with this?
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Apr 26 2022 05:24pm
Quote (Goomshill @ Apr 26 2022 04:05pm)
Do you deny that Iraq had weapons of mass destruction and Saddam was an evil dictator who needed to be deposed for the good of the world?



So two wrongs make a right? Or WTF does the brink of all out war have to do with proving a point from 2001 ?? Just as the bomb drops please say “but America invaded Iraq” it will
Make it hurt less
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Apr 26 2022 05:27pm
Quote (thundercock @ Apr 26 2022 06:09pm)
You're ignoring something very, very simple. Russia can get the EXACT same results by attacking areas near Lviv (and other corridors where weapons are coming in) as opposed to areas in actual Poland. They can attack rail stations (and have!), major highways, etc. inside Ukraine. Why are you struggling so hard with this?


Can they? We're going out of our way to make it difficult for them to intercept weapons. They don't have omniscient view of western ukraine and the border.
But again, Russia engages in tit for tat reciprocal escalation. Every. Time. Over and over again, for decades. The military impact is not the objective. Russia didn't pull Hillary Clinton's pants down during the 2016 election because they expected it to have any actual impact- hell Putin no doubt assumed she would easily win, just like everyone else did. They did it to make a point. A shot across the bow. Because that's what they do. If the Russian mainland is attacked with NATO weapons, Putin isn't going to be looking at a response measured in militarily effective neutralization of forces in Ukraine. He's not going to 'get the exact same results' by attacking parking lots and depots in Lviv.

Quote (duffman316 @ Apr 26 2022 06:06pm)
I dont believe they had wmds but i am in favour of tyrannicide

Are you going to answer my question?


I answered it by making the rhetorical point: Its not about reducing conflicts to some moralizing black and white view of innocent victims and aggressors.
We deposed a tyrant in Iraq, sure. And what was the result? A vastly worse outcome for everyone in Iraq and Syria than what Saddam had accomplished with his violent repression. Turns out a tyrant was a necessary evil, a positive net good, and our 'liberation' resulted in massacres in atrocities for a decade.

Russia has a valid claim to say that its responding to NATO aggression in a country seized in a coup, and both sides of the conflict are obviously committing war crimes- this is an eastern european war after all. There's no moral righteousness to narrowminded views of a conflict that will just get more people killed and displaced and cities razed. We aren't willing to invest the actual military force to confront Russia directly that would be needed to stop the war in Ukraine's favor, for all the same perils that we're still risking spiraling into with our schizophrenic foreign policy. We wouldn't save Ukraine, and we wouldn't let it pass back into Russia's control, so instead we're cutting the baby in half
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Apr 26 2022 05:30pm
Quote (Santara @ Apr 26 2022 03:55pm)
Some deal, right?

"We'll stop killing you if you give up half your country. Have fun with all the damage we did. Hope there's no hard feelings."


Yeah well, war sucks and the winner gets to make unreasonable and unfair demands.
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Apr 26 2022 05:34pm
Quote (Goomshill @ Apr 26 2022 04:27pm)
Can they? We're going out of our way to make it difficult for them to intercept weapons. They don't have omniscient view of western ukraine and the border.
But again, Russia engages in tit for tat reciprocal escalation. Every. Time. Over and over again, for decades. The military impact is not the objective. Russia didn't pull Hillary Clinton's pants down during the 2016 election because they expected it to have any actual impact- hell Putin no doubt assumed she would easily win, just like everyone else did. They did it to make a point. A shot across the bow. Because that's what they do. If the Russian mainland is attacked with NATO weapons, Putin isn't going to be looking at a response measured in militarily effective neutralization of forces in Ukraine. He's not going to 'get the exact same results' by attacking parking lots and depots in Lviv.



Russia has satellites and precision missiles so they absolutely can track and target these areas. Suppose they couldn't though. All the MORE reason not to bring another country into the war. Russia is already struggling against Ukraine and they'd have absolutely no chance against NATO.

Russia has always played to it's strengths (or perceived strengths). You're correct that they may engage in tit for tat reciprocal escalation but it won't be militarily which is what the discussion is about.
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Apr 26 2022 05:43pm
Quote (thundercock @ Apr 26 2022 06:34pm)
Russia has satellites and precision missiles so they absolutely can track and target these areas. Suppose they couldn't though. All the MORE reason not to bring another country into the war. Russia is already struggling against Ukraine and they'd have absolutely no chance against NATO.

Russia has always played to it's strengths (or perceived strengths). You're correct that they may engage in tit for tat reciprocal escalation but it won't be militarily which is what the discussion is about.


I think its safe to expect blood for blood. If Russia is being hit by NATO weapons, it wont be a sternly worded statement.
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Apr 26 2022 05:49pm
Quote (Goomshill @ Apr 26 2022 04:43pm)
I think its safe to expect blood for blood. If Russia is being hit by NATO weapons, it wont be a sternly worded statement.


Russia has many cards they can play. They can engage in cyber attacks, play economic hardball with Germany and other equally pathetic countries in Europe, they could use diplomatic tools with China so that they play hardball with the West, they can seek to destabilize Western countries with disinformation, etc. As I said before, Russia plays to it's strengths.
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Apr 26 2022 06:07pm
Quote (thundercock @ Apr 26 2022 06:49pm)
Russia has many cards they can play. They can engage in cyber attacks, play economic hardball with Germany and other equally pathetic countries in Europe, they could use diplomatic tools with China so that they play hardball with the West, they can seek to destabilize Western countries with disinformation, etc. As I said before, Russia plays to it's strengths.


Putin does it reciprocal and proportional. Thats how we knew his fingers were on the 2016 election before any evidence existed (outside of DNC's imagination). It was conspicuously tailored to mirror the Russian election grievances. And Russia is invading Ukraine now and bungling it. Its not their strength, but they clearly have the will. If Putin is avenging dead Russians I wouldn't expect diplomatic tools
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