Quote (NetflixAdaptationWidow @ Apr 24 2022 07:37pm)
I don't see anybody seriously saying Ukraine has a chance. Russia will win if they keep going. They are just much larger and more powerful.
However, Russia will take a big hit militarily from Ukraine's resistance, and the economic sanctions. The game the whole time has been making it painful enough that Russia doesn't see victory as worth the price it has to pay.
So far Russia has only lost a few thousand dead while blowing primarily through old Soviet stuff (with the exception of aviation and cruise missiles.)
The sanctions are doing some damage but will only force Russia to pivot to non-Russophobic allies, primarily India and China, and others. In the long run they will become completely self-reliant and essentially sanctions-proof.
Ukraine's losses in manpower are more than 10 times Russia's at this stage. It's not sustainable for them, it will be even worse if the 60k in Donbass are all killed or captured.
Quote (Sioux @ Apr 24 2022 07:39pm)
So when Russia takes the entirety of the region they controlled most of before the war started? It's only taken them a month to not capture the rest so far.
This isn't Iraq or Afghanistan, genius. It's easy for us Americans to talk shit when we've gone up against shepherds and lightly armed militias using insurgent tactics and "won" without much resistance (and even then pulling out after 20 years and immediately losing all that ground), but the reality is that Russia is doing a job 100x harder and against an enemy constantly being supplied with billions in weaponry. And yet they are still pulling it off... hmm, I wonder why that is?