Quote (Black XistenZ @ Aug 27 2021 04:35pm)
Hmm, taking the rate from the first 12 months of the pandemic is a bit problematic. During that timeframe, particularly the first wave in the spring of 2020, we were not testing enough and thus had a much bigger underreporting of covid cases than later. It's likely that the dark figure of cases was higher by a factor of at least 2-3, and not inconceivable that the factor could be as high as 4-6. So yes, I'll concede that the myocarditis risk from infection is probably still higher for the 12-17 age group than from vaccination, but it's probably fairly close. The difference definitely does not qualify for the standard you initially set out, namely that "covid risk is higher by an order of magnitude for all age brackets".
For the 0-12 year olds, the two risks might indeed be on the same level. We'll have to wait and see what the approval studies for the kids below 12 years will show in this regard. They are slated to be published some time in September iirc.
I don't account for 0 to 12 because I don't think we should vaccinate below 12 but that could very well be a reverse of the trend.
For 16 to 24 males 6x isn't quite an order of magnitude but that's as "bad" as vaccines get in the direct comparison. Still crushed vaccines are unsafe narratives that i know u don't hold.