d2jsp
Log InRegister
d2jsp Forums > Off-Topic > General Chat > Political & Religious Debate > Andrew Yang
Prev15678935Next
Add Reply New Topic New Poll
Member
Posts: 28,884
Joined: Aug 11 2013
Gold: 10,712.00
Apr 22 2019 11:17am
Quote (dro94 @ Apr 22 2019 10:03am)
Why do you think pretty much every central bank has an inflation target? There is a consensus amongst economists that it's beneficial. Inflation BAD isn't really capturing the nuance of it. Low positive inflation is good for keeping unemployment down and incentivising spending, which are two key areas of the economy.

As long as real wages increase there wouldn't be a reduction in purchasing power. You'd be able to buy the same basket of goods.

In regard to pensions, schemes should generally provide a yearly increase in line with the higher of the inflation rate or average earnings growth. This is pretty common across the world but I don't know if that's the case in America. There are also pension schemes that hedge against inflationary pressures by investing in assets tied to the inflation rate like index linked bonds.



Yes a 2% target not whatever will spawn from injecting 12k/person a year in a population of 340 million

Real wages would be irrelevant for people who are near or close to retirement. They have decreasing earning power so the positive of higher wages is almost irrelevant for them.

Like I said, after adjusting for the whatever monstrous inflation this would cause you could end up with scenarios of people who saved all their life having near zero or even negative returns on their savings after adjusting for purchasing power.

“You lost 40% of your nest egg, but you’re now getting 12k a year before taxes!” What joy

This post was edited by ofthevoid on Apr 22 2019 11:19am
Member
Posts: 93,001
Joined: Dec 31 2007
Gold: 2,299.94
Apr 22 2019 11:24am
Quote (ofthevoid @ Apr 22 2019 11:17am)
Yes a 2% target not whatever will spawn from injecting 12k/person a year in a population of 340 million

Real wages would be irrelevant for people who are near or close to retirement. They have decreasing earning power so the positive of higher wages is almost irrelevant for them.

Like I said, after adjusting for the whatever monstrous inflation this would cause you could end up with scenarios of people who saved all their life having near zero or even negative returns on their savings after adjusting for purchasing power.

“You lost 40% of your nest egg, but you’re now getting 12k a year before taxes!” What joy


where is the number for losing 40% of one's nest egg coming from. did you get that number or are you generating it some how?

also 12k/year x population isn't a correct number, either. it would be 12k x population of 18+ years old, or likely after it clears congress more like 6k/year to adults aged 24-50. or 24+ but not 6k/year to those who receive social security. then remove all of the money for food stamps and welfare from the 6k/year. as yang has said many times, it wouldn't stack with existing benefits.
Member
Posts: 129,919
Joined: Oct 3 2006
Gold: 17,050.69
Apr 22 2019 11:36am
Quote (thesnipa @ Apr 22 2019 12:11pm)
do you know the math on the % of unskilled labor that is being eliminated from the labor pool? how about the number of unskilled laborers with 15-20 years left in the labor pool before they can retire?

1000$/person for the whole US is not a feasible plan to work immediately, but to suggest UBI itself isn't a workable idea is ignorant of math indeed. as well as the math behind several problems that will be more damaging than inflation from UBI.


Dude if you are an unskilled laborer then go receive training...

Stop using this blanket statement to placate peoples lack of self development
Member
Posts: 93,001
Joined: Dec 31 2007
Gold: 2,299.94
Apr 22 2019 11:38am
Quote (Duckling @ Apr 22 2019 11:36am)
Dude if you are an unskilled laborer then go receive training...

Stop using this blanket statement to placate peoples lack of self development


i work for an automation company that thrives on eliminating unskilled labor.

i know the numbers, you have nothing but platitudes about what you think people should do. i know the numbers of what they do do, reliably, from the corporations who eliminate their jobs.

next question, did you factor in retraining and filter it through the age range i asked about specifically? 50ish year old people.
Member
Posts: 129,919
Joined: Oct 3 2006
Gold: 17,050.69
Apr 22 2019 11:44am
Quote (thesnipa @ Apr 22 2019 12:38pm)
i work for an automation company that thrives on eliminating unskilled labor.

i know the numbers, you have nothing but platitudes about what you think people should do. i know the numbers of what they do do, reliably, from the corporations who eliminate their jobs.

next question, did you factor in retraining and filter it through the age range i asked about specifically? 50ish year old people.


Isn't this just the same hysteria people said during the industrial revolution?

At any age, you need to stay proactive for your employment

It is not governments responsibility nor a corporations to entitle you to a job or income.


Member
Posts: 93,001
Joined: Dec 31 2007
Gold: 2,299.94
Apr 22 2019 11:50am
Quote (Duckling @ Apr 22 2019 11:44am)
Isn't this just the same hysteria people said during the industrial revolution?

At any age, you need to stay proactive for your employment



the situation currently developing is like the industrial revolution but about 100x worse with far less solutions.

key difference being employment elimination vs displacement. the car, the baseball seamer, and other advancements displaced labor, and the available positions one could find without any retaining were vast.

as compared to today, in which labor is being eliminated, because of the lack of congruent jobs elsewhere in the market, and the need for training.

me personally? i'm just a guy with a bachelors in criminal justice, with half a law degree, then a technical cert in drafting, and project management, with most of my credits done for mechanical design bachelors to round it out. but hey, what do i know about seeking training for employment or anything....

the fact is that your, or my, expectations about what people should do aren't equal to what they do do. people dont seek training, by-and-large, and economically depressed areas are created and lie stagnant. Flynt, Baltimore, DC, Detroit, Chicago, etc. when the unskilled labor dries up for a population bred on it's neverending existence stagnant pockets of poverty are created and we haven't shown any ability to fix them yet. do i suggest training and many other things, of course. do i expect it to just fix it, even UBI, nope.

Quote
It is not governments responsibility nor a corporations to entitle you to a job or income.


p.s. corporations don't have a choice, they will eliminate too much demand by automating if they dont fund UBI. they know it and have already started making plans.

This post was edited by thesnipa on Apr 22 2019 11:51am
Member
Posts: 28,884
Joined: Aug 11 2013
Gold: 10,712.00
Apr 22 2019 11:51am
Quote (thesnipa @ Apr 22 2019 10:24am)
where is the number for losing 40% of one's nest egg coming from. did you get that number or are you generating it some how?

also 12k/year x population isn't a correct number, either. it would be 12k x population of 18+ years old, or likely after it clears congress more like 6k/year to adults aged 24-50. or 24+ but not 6k/year to those who receive social security. then remove all of the money for food stamps and welfare from the 6k/year. as yang has said many times, it wouldn't stack with existing benefits.



I’m just using a hyperbolic figure. Any person that says they know for a fact how little or how much inflation will happen post this is full of shit and not worth listening to.

I get the over 18 or the no double dipping angle. I don’t feel like digging this info up but let’s assume the 18-54 demographic makes up 50% of population.

170 mil * 12k = 2 trillion per year... just on this program alone... nothing else

This would be between 40-50% of the overall 2018 budget.

Like I said I haven’t seen his math or whatever cuts he’s proposing but something tells me there’s going to be a massive funding gap to be filled which will most likely mean increased monetary base resulting in dilution of the usd.

I’m not necessarily against Ubi I just think it needs a fuckton of research and big brains to seriously consider the cost and benefits both short and long term.

This post was edited by ofthevoid on Apr 22 2019 11:52am
Member
Posts: 8,160
Joined: Dec 28 2016
Gold: 0.00
Apr 22 2019 11:52am
Quote (thesnipa @ Apr 22 2019 09:24am)
where is the number for losing 40% of one's nest egg coming from. did you get that number or are you generating it some how?

also 12k/year x population isn't a correct number, either. it would be 12k x population of 18+ years old, or likely after it clears congress more like 6k/year to adults aged 24-50. or 24+ but not 6k/year to those who receive social security. then remove all of the money for food stamps and welfare from the 6k/year. as yang has said many times, it wouldn't stack with existing benefits.



>it wouldnt stack
That should go over well in the sassy black woman community, ill let you be the one to tell section 8 shaniqua shes being taxed to pay the white man
Member
Posts: 93,001
Joined: Dec 31 2007
Gold: 2,299.94
Apr 22 2019 11:55am
Quote (ofthevoid @ Apr 22 2019 11:51am)
I’m just using a hyperbolic figure. Any person that says they know for a fact how little or how much inflation will happen post this is full of shit and not worth listening to.

I get the over 18 or no the no double dipping angle. I don’t feel like digging this info up but let’s assume the 18-54 demographic makes up 50% of population.

170 mil * 12k = 2 trillion per year... just on this program alone... nothing else

This would be between 40-50% of the overall 2018 budget.

Like I said I haven’t seen his math or whatever cuts he’s proposing but something tells me there’s going to be a massive funding gap to be filled which will most likely mean increased monetary base resulting in dilution of the usd.

I’m not necessarily against Ubi I just think it needs a fuckton of research and big brains to seriously consider the cost and benefits both short and long term.


so just as a simple illustration of how incorrect your math is:

Quote
In 2018 a total of $445 billion is projected to be spent on welfare programs in America. [Source: U.S. Government Publishing Office]


so 25% of what you just estimated as the cost, $2bn, comes of instantly with welfare spending. boom, gone, poof.

i agree wholeheartedly that it needs research and a lot of math done, just saying dont build on whatever figures you're using now, they're wildly inaccurate.

Quote (tonerbond @ Apr 22 2019 11:52am)
>it wouldnt stack
That should go over well in the sassy black woman community, ill let you be the one to tell section 8 shaniqua shes being taxed to pay the white man


don't worry about it, Andrew Yang, the guy saying it wouldn't stack has said it about 20x publicly.

I wonder if Ghut's wife is named..... doesn't exist?

This post was edited by thesnipa on Apr 22 2019 11:58am
Member
Posts: 105,150
Joined: Apr 25 2006
Gold: 10,475.00
Apr 22 2019 11:57am



I wonder if Yang's wife is named... Ying?
Go Back To Political & Religious Debate Topic List
Prev15678935Next
Add Reply New Topic New Poll