Quote (CarsV @ 25 Feb 2019 22:45)
Are you really that elementary of mind that you base your reasoning on an obscure internet poll?
not only is rcp everything but 'obscure', you clearly were not able to identify my point at all, which was that at least the numbers we have so far (as unreliable, early, and subject to change they might be) don't support the 'trump beats her easily' narrative.
i elaborated on my reasoning in the next post about her political record and that trump literally has just one thing to attack her on her. but i have a feeling that you aren't actually interested in making a point or honestly learning about mine here, or am i mistaken?
Quote (Beowulf @ 25 Feb 2019 22:43)
I'll just make this prediction because that's all we can do
If warren wins the nom (very unlikely) Trumps defeats her and Warren does worse than clinton in popular and possibly the college
Identity politics does work politically but old white woman that released a dna test showing how white she is and steps in every single trap trump sets won't be able to win on it. She's not great on the stump for national politics, she stumbles too much
this is not a personal judgment of her politics only her public political persona which isn't strong enough to pull off an identity politics win
I believe she's always been weak nationally but that DNA test release is the howard dean scream of her political career
like i said, expecting the 'pocahontas' attack to be stronger than her political record says a lot about the american voter and politics in general. not saying you're definitely wrong or that it's totally unrealistic, but yeah, that's even more pessimistic than i am...
in terms of key policies, she's overwhelmingly on the side of what a majority of americans support though, but then again, so are almost all democrats.