Quote (fender @ 11 Aug 2021 21:39)
lol what? "spiraling indefinitely" is not the concern, getting bad enough to overwhelm the healthcare system is what we're talking about
That's also what I am talking about.
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and that is a very realistic scenario (a near certain one if everyone was a selfish little anti-vaxxer btw).
What makes you so sure of that? The UK ended all restrictions and is doing plenty fine. Countries like Denmark, Switzerland, Austria and many more are taking back restrictions and can easily cope so far.
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and no, they don't just magically "end", they slow down once it gets warmer again, or once a gamechanger, like a vaccination for example, is introduced
Neither the Delta-induced wave in India nor the one in the UK was ended by warmer weather or the introduction of a new vaccine. Yet they ended rather abruptly. Just like the Alpha-induced wave here in Germany was already broken while we still had shit weather and long before additional restrictions had a chance to take effect.
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also, the UK has a HIGHER vaccination rate than we have, and to the best of my knowledge it's not winter there yet.
the UK currently has 58.5% of its population vaccinated, we have 55.6%. on july 19th, when the UK lifted all restrictions, they had 53.8%.
don't get fooled by the higher numbers which are floated around (70 or 80% or so), they refer to the adult population.
by now, pretty much all of Europe is at about the same vaccination rate that the UK had when they celebrated their freedom day, or even higher.
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if you think we're so far away from that, just looks at some of the red US states ALREADY at capacity long before winter - it clearly indicates our healthcare systems are anything but safe - and the delta variant will certainly test them.
the US have a lower vaccination rate and much less restrictions, and the respective restrictions/rules in place are flouted more often than here. additionally, it's not something that is affecting all red states, just a select few of them. arizona and georgia are holding up surprisingly well. louisiana is in a tough situation, its neighboring states seem to be doing much better.
additionally, our healthcare systems here in Europe are not as shitty, our population not as obese and unhealthy and social stratification less pronounced.
and last but not least, there is no substantial argument against triaging the unvaccinated who come to an overwhelmed hospital. allowing the antivaxxers to hold everyone else hostage in terms of lockdowns/restrictions is a political choice, not an inevitability. these folks made a conscious decision to prefer to try their chances with the virus than getting jabbed - why should the rest of society stand in solidarity and suffer from restrictions because these people made the wrong choice?
This post was edited by Black XistenZ on Aug 11 2021 02:54pm