Quote (theCrossbones @ 9 Aug 2021 00:29)
LOL thats not what im saying..
I find it crazy that the flatten the curve effort has been said over and over to "it didn't work" Ok then if that wasn't working what is this?
Deaths are curving at the same rate.. just lagging of course. My point is for the deniers.. As posted.
No, deaths are not curving at the same rate. One trend is very clear: in previous waves, the death curve was a mirror image of the case curve, just shifted by a couple of weeks. An X% increase in cases translated into roughly an X% increase in deaths. By contrast, during the current wave, the death curve is much flatter than the case curve, X% more cases translate into much less than X% more deaths.
There are variations between different states, presumably based on vaccination rates and the age profile of their populace, but the connection between cases and deaths has been severly weakened. That's the vaccine effect.
Regarding the "flatten the curve did not work"-argument: when the initial lockdowns were justified and explained with the 'flatten the curve' concept, people were led to believe that there is this huge, imminent problem to which "flatten the curve" would be the solution. What we instead got after the "two weeks to flatten the curve" was the motto of "we must keep cases low, even if that requires crippling our social and economic life as well as the education of our children".
Flatten the curve was not a solution to the actual long-term problem, and in this sense, it did not work. What actually solves the problem are the vaccines, but the same people who rightfully criticized lockdown policies as not solving the issue are also the ones who refuse to take them. That's the point where the 'stupid' kicks in, not the fact that these people criticized the lockdowns.
This post was edited by Black XistenZ on Aug 8 2021 04:43pm