Quote (Bazi @ Dec 18 2020 01:13pm)
They had higher numbers in October /November because there spike was earlier than ours. Talk to me in February when you can compare appropriate parts of the curves with each other. This is a classic case of cherry picking data points and comparing apples with oranges. Our start of the spike vs their peaking numbers. Again, objectively , cases per capita in regards to where we are on our respective curves, there is no objective comparison. Our spike slope will be steeper and higher, no questions about it. We will reach hospital saturation and staffing saturation in every state of the Country, they will not
Bold call. Maybe it will happen maybe not.
Not sure where you're getting the correct comparisons for the cycles that would make it apples to apples? For example, why do you want to compare their October to our February? I see their first spike in mid-march for them and mid-April for us so the difference in cycles would be like a month, not 4 months.
That's also consistent with what we're seeing now. They peaked in late October-November and about a month later maybe a little over we're starting to peak.
And again that has little to nothing to do with saying lockdown measures do much tbh.