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Jul 29 2025 12:43am
Yeah the question is whether the slog keeps slogging or Russia stages a massive breakthrough. It could change on any day, or we could go 2 more years of creeping Russian advances. Putin plainly set his design on taking everything east of the Dnipro and that is still within his grasp


"Everything east of the Dnipro" seems too ambitious if you ask me. That would mean taking not just the full Donbass, but also Kharkiv and Dnipropetrovsk, two of the largest cities in all of Ukraine. And if they wanted to siege these two cities, they would have to put up camp in the open field where their troops would be sitting ducks. Once you break out of the hilly terrain of the Donbass, the flat plains mean that advances will be quicker, but holding positions and supply routes also becomes a lot more difficult.
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Jul 29 2025 12:58am
Putin cant simply declare victory with a hostile Kyiv. He wants to end the issue not defer or park it, therefore I am not expecting any withdrawal of troops or sudden ceasefires. Marrying that to trumps demands looks like an impossible task. so ye, lets see what happens. escalation or what.
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Jul 29 2025 02:24pm
Putin cant simply declare victory with a hostile Kyiv. He wants to end the issue not defer or park it, therefore I am not expecting any withdrawal of troops or sudden ceasefires. Marrying that to trumps demands looks like an impossible task. so ye, lets see what happens. escalation or what.


I expect Trump's threats to be mostly bluster here.
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Jul 29 2025 03:06pm
I expect Trump's threats to be mostly bluster here.


no i think he will do more sanctions, if Iran is the precedent then we must expect something. If its anything to do with India it will be quite interesting.
i.e. if he sanctions countries that dont sanction but trade with Russia its a bit tricky to navigate how that will go down.

This post was edited by ferdia on Jul 29 2025 03:08pm
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Jul 29 2025 03:10pm
no i think he will do more sanctions, if Iran is the precedent then we must expect something. If its anything to do with India it will be quite interesting.
i.e. if he sanctions countries that dont sanction but trade with Russia its a bit tricky to navigate how that will go down.


Russia is not even close to sanctioned everything goes through different countries like Kasachstan or Turkmenistan
Believe me since Russia is sanctioned nothing changed for them
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Jul 29 2025 03:43pm
Russia is not even close to sanctioned everything goes through different countries like Kasachstan or Turkmenistan
Believe me since Russia is sanctioned nothing changed for them


feel free to post what you believe Donald Trump will do within the next 10-12 days, im all ears.
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Jul 29 2025 03:47pm
feel free to post what you believe Donald Trump will do within the next 10-12 days, im all ears.


No I’m just saying even if he does
For Russia it won’t change anything

Same
Like with china
China doesn’t care about America at all they won’t loose any money at all
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Jul 29 2025 07:08pm
no i think he will do more sanctions, if Iran is the precedent then we must expect something. If its anything to do with India it will be quite interesting.
i.e. if he sanctions countries that dont sanction but trade with Russia its a bit tricky to navigate how that will go down.


India is THE key chess piece in the geostrategic competition between the US and China. Trump won't risk alienating them and pushing them too much toward the Russia/China/Iran camp.

This post was edited by Black XistenZ on Jul 29 2025 07:08pm
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Jul 29 2025 07:21pm
No I’m just saying even if he does
For Russia it won’t change anything

Same
Like with china
China doesn’t care about America at all they won’t loose any money at all


China cares a lot about America and could lose a ton of money from American actions. Let's be honest

I have no idea what Trump will do but the US can certainly hurt Russia with sanctions too if they wanted to. They are nowhere close to maximum pressure, which would involve some self sacrifice or sacrificing relations with some other countries
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Jul 30 2025 07:59am
Why Russia will lose- they always make bad decisions.
Example-
Thanks Alexander 2nd for selling Alaska for 7.2 million to the usa. Equals about .02 cents per acre.

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