I wouldn’t be so sure. It’s quite possible that these extra 30-40 thousand will eventually sign a contract. Who knows, maybe that’s the plan. Twice a year, 30-40 thousand- that could also be the potential annual losses at the current sluggish pace of the conflict. On the other hand, the number of people willing to sign a contract isn’t likely to increase each year, especially if we believe in those Medvedev-style (what a fantastic source of information, almost on par with local forum-based warmongers) hundreds of thousands. That leaves only two options: mercenaries from other countries and mobilization.
honestly, there is nothing to read in to here, we discussed this same point last year.
Russia's current conscription efforts are consistent with those in 2023 and 2024, with a minor increase in the number of draftees. On March 31, 2025, President Vladimir Putin signed an order to draft 160,000 men as part of Russia’s biannual conscription drive. In comparison, the fall 2024 draft enlisted 133,000 young men, following a spring draft of 150,000, totaling 283,000 conscripts for that year.
Additionally, in September 2024, Putin decreed an expansion of the Russian army by 180,000 soldiers, aiming for a total of 1.5 million active servicemen.
The numbers are too low to fully control Ukraine, i.e. he is not trying to control all of Ukraine, nevermind invade Europe. Its just a matter of logistics and when you get that you can see that the European narrative of Russia seeking to invade Europe is just hot air.
There are no shocking actions, just a slow grinding pressure.
This post was edited by ferdia on Apr 1 2025 02:22am