This war can only somewhat be framed as a stalemate because Ukraine is literally being kept on life support to the tune of over 100+BN a year by a collective of what 20+ countries? (Trump recently said real number is actually 350BN total idk if accurate or not)Including the US, the wealthiest country ever? Ukraine took territory that Russia didn't have the numbers to defend or weren't willing to sacrifice/trap troops (i.e. north bank of Kherson). Russia has been taking territory that Ukraine has no interest in yielding. Almost every major battle in the last 1-2 years, and i mean real battles has been fought in places that Russia eventually took.
We've been over this many times, their strategy is not to blitz their way across huge swaths of territory leaving lines exposed. Their strategy has continually been to allow Ukraine to bring its troops to these battle fronts and methodically crush these units. War of attrition.
And Russia is being propped up big time in both military and economic terms by China and Iran. Where would they be if China didn't help them defang the Western sanctions? Where would they be without the Iranian drones?
Yes, they're very focused on not exposing any flanks or supply lines, after they got burned this way time and time again during the initial 8 months of this war. Nonetheless, the notion that Russia is completely chilled, under no pressure whatsoever and could push a lot harder/faster if they wanted to, isn't plausible if you ask me.
They wouldn't go around begging for troops in freakin' North Korea and Yemen, or offer increasingly huge sums for those who enlist voluntarily, if they had no recruitment issues.
They wouldn't let Ukraine hold parts of their own territory (Kursk) for a whole year if they had huge amounts of reserves up their sleeve.
You wouldn't have had a dispute over insufficient supplies between their official military and their proxy forces turn so bitter that the mercenaries eventually marched on Moscow.
Imho, the current Russian efforts are roughly the maximum they can do without going on a true all-out wartime footing. It looks like it will have been just enough to secure their core objectives, so kudos to them. But nothing I've seen over the past 1-2 years proves those of you right who argued that Russia was a behemoth who could crush Ukaine with ease if only it stopped fooling around and took off the gloves.
This post was edited by Black XistenZ on Feb 16 2025 01:06pm