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Apr 13 2022 08:18am
Quote (ofthevoid @ 13 Apr 2022 16:04)
Build up happened fairly recent (in last year or so) when it became obvious that after 5 years of negotiating Ukraine wasn't willing to let the Donbass do it's own thing and they were pushing full force for NATO membership. There really isn't enough evidence one way or the other that says this war would of happened anyways if those concessions would of happened, kind of a reach by you to just assume that.

Fair argument, but I have to vehemently disagree. The West and Ukraine tried to appease Russia after 2014, they let Russia get away with the annexation of Crimea against international law, they were willing to accept Russian control over the separatist regions in Donbass. A NATO membership was not realistic, no matter how much the Ukrainian government might have ran their mouth about it.

In particular, it's asinine to assume that ceding Crimea, Donetsk and Luhansk to Russia would have resulted in peace and sovereignty for the rest of Ukraine. Putin doesn't recognize Ukraine's right to exist as a sovereign nation, he's overtly said so throughout the years on countless occasions. Imho, this war had to happen to settle the issue. Only after a scenario in which Russia tried and failed to subjugate Ukraine can the rest of Ukraine, however much of it is left after the war, become a free nation.




The way I see it, Putin threw down the gauntlet to the rest of the world and formulated what I would call the "Putin doctrine" about the "limited sovereignty of Russia's neighbors". The invasion of Ukraine has made it clear once and for all that he's willing to go to any lengths to enforce it. This current war is essentially a battle between the West and Russia to see if Putin actually has the ability to enforce this doctrine.

This post was edited by Black XistenZ on Apr 13 2022 08:19am
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Apr 13 2022 08:22am
Quote (ferdia @ Apr 13 2022 01:45am)
It makes no sense for Russia to invade Finland if Finland is not aspiring to join Nato. its simply not on the table.
It makes no sense for Finland to join Nato at this time noting it WILL escalate the situation, and might put invasion on the table.
At this point I expect Finland to join Nato within the year 2022.
This blows my mind. If the west truly believes that Putin is Old, Sick and deranged, why in the world are they provoking him to escalate further ? this makes no logical sense to me at all.


Because they are fcking stupid and the Eurolemmings are sleepwalking themselves to their own deaths just to virtue-signal over Ukraine.
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Apr 13 2022 08:22am
Quote (fender @ Apr 13 2022 03:08pm)
that's simply not true, it's a lazy whataboutism to distract from pootin's war, his aggression, his war crimes.

take me for example, i have been - and still am - incredibly critical of and outspoken against american foreign policy in the middle east, and have repeatedly called out its proponents in the past. even you won't deny that, will you?
pointing out how russia's invasion of ukraine, their slaughtering of civilians, the raping, murdering, and destroying of the whole country is barbaric, unjustifiable, and simply wrong does NOT mean everything else is magically "forgotten" or "not bad" anymore. this is a thread about russia / ukraine - open one about american foreign politics, unjustified wars, and regime changes, and i'll be the first one to agree if you criticise it.

i'm pretty sure you know all this, and only act as if your misrepresentation of what's happening was true in order to downplay pootin's war by comparison. it's a cheap and transparent tactic, and you're a hack for attempting to bothsides this. nato is not the US. nato is a defensive military alliance. nato doesn't invade countries. russia does. ukraine wanted to join nato.


i wont deny that you opposed warmongering in the past, because you did, but then why do you deny this current war being also a product of western geopolitical games

its not a misinterpretation or downplaying putin starting this brutal war to say that it usually takes two to tango

giving ukraine a neutral status to prevent an escalation goes back all the way to george bush and his advisors

putin was dumb enough to make his move into what is now a proxy war at the expense of the ukranian people

they will pay back the "help" we so generously provided for decades (lend and lease style), while banks and military industrial complex cant stop laughing

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Apr 13 2022 08:24am
Quote (ferdia @ Apr 13 2022 02:04am)
On review ~

This was in the first 5 pages of his thread. I dont think he understands the situation very well. If I were him I would hesitate before making another thread i.e. "Russia will not invade Finland" noting his last thread didnt age well. Russia may, or may not, invade Finland, no one knows. At the same time I dont stare into mirrors and say Candyman 5 times.


Might want to read more than the first 5 pages. Try the last 8 years of the Ukraine civil war starting with the CIA-backed 2014 Maidan coup, actually.

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Apr 13 2022 08:25am
Quote (thesnipa @ Apr 13 2022 07:07am)
I can't wait for the russians to strike a deal with those "Nazis" and leave them in power for nothing more than a bit of land and a no-NATO pact.

what will you say then?


Yes and that might end up being exactly what happens.

Because at the end of the day if lives can be saved and objectives achieved at the same time, that is a win.

But don't be surprised when it ends up being the entire black sea coast Russia takes.
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Apr 13 2022 08:28am
Quote (chopstickz777 @ Apr 13 2022 03:24pm)
Might want to read more than the first 5 pages. Try the last 8 years of the Ukraine civil war starting with the CIA-backed 2014 Maidan coup, actually.



the last 8 years of the Ukrianian civil war, and as referring to a CIA backed COUP, these to my mind would have been factors to be considered as to why Russia invaded. remember your view was Russia would not invade, my view was they would invade. [ both topic's made before Russia did, in fact, invade ].
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Apr 13 2022 08:29am
Quote (Hamsterbaby @ 13 Apr 2022 16:18)
Thank you very much, I am just trying to put in my own words from the Asian perspective. As a Singaporean, we are also facing al ot of potential hot spot issues that might arise in South East Asia as well. We have to deal with the Chinese and the Americans and we are being surrounded by Muslim majority countries.
But so far the Muslim countries around us have been friendly and secular.

Radical islamists have been rapidly gaining ground in Indonesia for the past decade plus. If I was a Singaporean geostrategists advising the SG government, I wouldn't bet on them remaining a friendly and secular neighbor indefinitely.



Quote (Goomshill @ 13 Apr 2022 16:09)
That was the optimistic scenario. Tens or hundreds of thousands of people are already dead. Population centers have already been obliterated. Millions of people have already been displaced.
I don't think a time wizard is going to show up, wave his mystical hands and make all the rubble and body parts zip backwards to their original forms.

The Ukrainiain leaders and people were well aware of that when they chose to fight instead of surrender. From what I can tell, the vast majority of the ethnic Ukrainians are firmly behind Zelensky's course and willing to make a stand against Russian aggression right here, right now. Countless Ukrainians living in Western Europe moved to Ukraine, willing to risk their lives so they can join this fight.

Who are we to tell them that rolling over and chosing an existence as an enslaved and subjugated vassal state of Russia, including thousands of executed civilians and hundreds of thousands of raped women and children, would have been the better tradeoff for them?

This post was edited by Black XistenZ on Apr 13 2022 08:30am
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Apr 13 2022 08:29am
Quote (Hamsterbaby @ 13 Apr 2022 14:05)
Can I check with you on this, didn't Russia wanted to join EU or " NATO " years ago but they were denied entry ?


No, both got close at some point in 2010 but Putin did not pushed forward for it, nor pushed for more human rights or less corruption.
We could say "USA's fault: provoked conflict in ukraine 2014" but this is wrong: Putin & associated gangsters simply wanted to keep their hand on russian people without being interfered by European union.

Btw imagine Russia joining EU and then New kind of NATO done: creating bases in VLADIVOSTOK. :evil:
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Apr 13 2022 08:31am
Quote (Black XistenZ @ Apr 13 2022 03:29pm)
Radical islamists have been rapidly gaining ground in Indonesia for the past decade plus. If I was a Singaporean geostrategists advising the SG government, I wouldn't bet on them remaining a friendly and secular neighbor indefinitely.


Do you have any sources that you can provide to support this view ?

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Apr 13 2022 08:36am
Quote (chopstickz777 @ Apr 13 2022 09:25am)
Yes and that might end up being exactly what happens.

Because at the end of the day if lives can be saved and objectives achieved at the same time, that is a win.

But don't be surprised when it ends up being the entire black sea coast Russia takes.


I wont be, because unlike you ive said all along thats what the war was about. a land grab, not a righteous war against nazis. not to protect ethnic russians.

its to grab land and prove to countries on the NATO bubble that wanting to join NATO means they're a target before they can even join, and that the west wont move in to save them.

Quote (ferdia @ Apr 13 2022 09:31am)
Do you have any sources that you can provide to support this view ?


there used to be a hell of a view from the top of the twin tower buuuuuuuuuuuuut

This post was edited by thesnipa on Apr 13 2022 08:37am
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