Quote (Thebarba @ Nov 3 2024 05:05pm)
As much as I would love to think otherwise, it seems that the US election will have no impact on this ridiculous war. I think the Trump would love to believe he could make a deal, but it's looking like both Russia and Ukraine continue to be delusional about what they believe they deserve from a mediation. Ukraine wants pre-war borders, impossible and ridiculous. Russia apparently is refusing negotiations and has eyes on the entire black sea coast and D river border - impractical.
One thing that is not discussed enough, or at all. Taking a q from the pithy phrase generals fight the last war, Russia is gaining something incredibly valuable out of all this. Battle experience in a modern war. They are now the most battle-hardened and experienced rival to the American hegemony, even if their economy cannot support a large and robust war machine. That experience is going to be taught to everyone within the Russian sphere, notably at least Iran and Nork, but maybe also China and India, which would mark a period of time when the US military is actually behind the curve in regards to the techniques of war. That perhaps is one of the most important reasons to try to end the war. The longer this goes, the bigger the chasm between Russia's battle experience and America's. They're like the borg. No amount of losses deters them and they just keep slowly but surely adapting.
Trump is the only US politician that is not seeking ww3 with russia, Democrat/Republicans have the same foreign policy. So US election does have an impact, if Trump somehow wins. The reason why the middle east conflict is so bad is because the US unconditionally now and forever supports Israel, (and there is nothing trump can do about it) therefore Israel has no need to negotiate anything with anyone, and therefore they act like the US, we will kill 50 of you for every 1 of us. It is credible however that Trump will no longer support Ukraine, and in such a scenario, Ukraine will be forced to negotiate, and lose land. Zelensky wont support such a deal, and therefore lets see what happens.
This post was edited by ferdia on Nov 3 2024 11:26am