Quote (thesnipa @ 1 Mar 2022 13:46)
Russia taking Ukraine was inevitable, Russia holding Ukraine and Russia withstanding sanctions after the initial invasion is what i meant by going poorly. NATO may gain 1-2 more members. Insurgency will gnaw at them for years like it did to us in Afghanistan. Even if they install a prop govt its going to be a long road to true peace, and even then likely cause NATO reactions along the borders, Balkans, etc.
That assumes Russia intended to take and hold Ukraine, when they have claimed otherwise from day 1.
NATO was going to NATO no matter what Russia did.