Quote (El1te @ Sep 16 2024 12:20pm)
If we assume the Russian casualty numbers are accurate, and given the relative parity of military capability between the two belligerents coupled with neither side dominating the other, it's a safe assumption that Ukrainian casualties are roughly equal
It's near impossible to know but we've beat this horse to death with some well known facts:
-Vast majority of deaths in this war are due to artillery/drones.
-Russia has between 5-10 to 1 artillery advantage. Maybe Ukraine had a drone advantage for a few months early on but that's largely gone now, both sides use drones extensively.
-Russia, unlike Ukraine regularly carries out rear/logistic attacks well beyond just the front lines. There's monthly strikes on hotels, training centers & other target rich places. Strikes on the training center killing hundreds few weeks back have been happening for many months. Obviously not all are as impactful though.
-Russia is and has been advancing much more than Ukraine, typically the attacker will suffer more losses defenders will be entrenched and ready.
-Russia has an extensive spy network in Ukraine. There's a lot of friendly's in places like Odessa, Kharkov, across the Donbass, that easily and regularly give away high value coordinates.
-Ukraine has troop issues. Average age of soldiers is well over 40, and troops aren't rotated regularly from front lines. That leads to poor morale, fatigue and dissatisfaction with leadership. Russia uses contract soldiers, most of which are volunteers that were paid and so far have been more than enough to replenish numbers. They objectively have the numbers advantage.
All in all, i think between the higher fire power and regularly hitting the rear balances out pushing forward. It's really difficult to see how Ukraine would be mustering higher losses on Russia with all these things considered.
This post was edited by ofthevoid on Sep 16 2024 11:12am