Quote (ofthevoid @ 11 Sep 2024 01:25)
Literally every one of our geopolitical enemies somehow end up with to die for allies right on their borders. Doesn't matter Russia, China, Iran, whomever else, always the same story. You could open up a map and see who some of these super crucial key allies are and it's just totally a coincidence they are right next to Russia, China and so on.
The Baltics, Poland, Romania, and lately Ukraine, have all aligned with us voluntarily, in no small part based on a century of abuse they endured at the hands of the Russians. SK, Japan and the Philippines were US allies long before China became a legit geopolitical rival. Iran has constantly meddled with Iraq's internal affairs just as much as we did. Our outpost on their eastern side in Afghanistan was abandoned, they can now deal with the Taliban instead.
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No it wouldn't, there's a chance some version of this happens but the probability is not 100%. It's the same nonsensical logic that said we need to stop Russia here and now or we'll be fighting them in western Europe. It's not grounded on anything substantive
No, it's not the same logic. If Russia achieves a full victory on the battlefield in Ukraine, there is nothing stopping them from a full occupation of the country and subsequent purges other than Russia's will. Any push further into Western Europe, by contrast, is totally unrealistic because they lack the means, even if they wanted to.
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this notion that they will march all the way to Kiev, then Lviv is not a given. The fact that you keep saying this in response when i have been to Ukraine several times both pre-and post 2014 and seen how people lived, there was never any subjugation, slavery whatever other things you're predicting makes this statement even more ridiculous.
Well, pre-2022, Ukraine was still a sovereign nation, so of course there was no slavery, large-scale oppression etc.
Since then, the UA-RUS relations have deteriorated dramatically, the Russian population has been riled up by years of constant propaganda about the "genocidal nazis in Kyiv", a six figure number of Russians lost their lives and many members of Russia's ruling class lost billions in assets and access to many of the world's finest destinations.
Will all Ukrainian men be put in chains and toiled to death in the quarry while their women become sex slaves if Russia wins? No, of course not. But it is absolutely realistic to assume that there will be a hefty price to pay if Russia accomplishes a comprehensive victory. At the very least, Russia will want to secure its victory, secure its gains and take precautions to ensure that something like this never happens again. I really don't think it's a stretch to say that there will no longer be a free press and no fair elections in which a majority of the Ukrainian people has a chance to vote for pro-Western forces. Just like it's no stretch to say that many pro-Western politicians or activists will be heading to the gulag.
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The west just like the east, just like everyone should operate under a real rule based order, one in which we don't prop up coups or NGOs to disrupt or infringe on their spheres and we expect them to abide by the same principals.
The rules-based world order laid out by the United Nations assumes that sovereign nations actually are sovereign and free to choose their allies. You seem to assume an imperialist world order in which the world is divided up between a handful of great powers which all have a historic sphere of influence to which they're eternally entitled, plus a bunch of smaller nations which are all ultimately unfree vassals/satellites/colonies of the aforementioned great powers.