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Jul 20 2024 01:38pm
Quote (Djunior @ Jul 20 2024 08:21pm)
If Ukraine loses Crimea and the other oblasts that Russia annexed AND Ukraine is forced to remain neutral then it's a huge victory for Putin no matter how much you try to chalk this up as a loss.

Bolded: Those are the preconditions set by Putin to start the negotiations. Russia is winning on the battlefield, they got a clear advantage in manpower and firepower so it's unlikely they'll suddenly settle for less.

When the dust settles the conclusion will be drawn that all the West achieved was that Ukraine got completely wrecked and a generation of Ukrainians got killed on the battlefield.


If your babushka had wheels she would be a bike, comrade.

lolled at "huge victory" :thumbsup:

This post was edited by Prox1m1ty on Jul 20 2024 01:39pm
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Jul 20 2024 01:49pm
Quote (Prox1m1ty @ Jul 20 2024 09:38pm)
If your babushka had wheels she would be a bike, comrade.

lolled at "huge victory" :thumbsup:



Putin clearly said that those are the pre-conditions for negotiations comrade and you just said you think Ukraine is going to be "partitioned" to use your own words.

So yes, if that happens it would be a huge victory for the Russians.

You understand what that means? --> A huge fat L for Ukraine and the West.

Now go on and tell us again that it's a great testing ground for NATO lmfao :thumbsup: :thumbsup:

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Jul 20 2024 01:54pm
Lets put the huge gains in perspective shall we.

https://www.russiamatters.org/news/russia-ukraine-war-report-card/russia-ukraine-war-report-card-may-7-2024

Change in control of Ukrainian territory
Since Feb. 24, 2022:
Russia: +25,000 square miles. 11% of Ukraine. Area equivalent to Massachusetts, New Hampshire and Connecticut combined.
Ukraine: 0. Ukraine has not taken any territory controlled by Russia before the 2022 invasion.
Since Aug. 29, 2022 Ukrainian counteroffensive: Ukraine +6,550 square miles. 3% of Ukraine. Area equivalent to Connecticut and Rhode Island combined.
Russia: +480.
Ukraine: +7,030.
In past month: Russia +55 square miles.
Russia: +61.
Ukraine: +6.
In past week: Russia +20 square miles.
Russia: +21.
Ukraine: +1.
Total territory occupied by Russia at some point since Feb. 24, 2022: 54,000 square miles.
Total territory reclaimed by Ukraine since Feb. 24, 2022: 29,000. 54% of total territory occupied by Russia.
Currently occupied by Russia: 25,000.



Russia has gained 55 square miles in the past month. The Donbass is 20,000 square miles. Lets estimate Russia controls 70% of the region already. Thats 14,000 square miles.
So 6,000 square miles remain outwith Russian control. Based on an average 100 miles per month, which is double what Russia is currently capable of.
That means it would only take another 60 months for Russia to control the entire Donbas region. That is five years.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russian-occupied_territories_of_Ukraine
"During the entire 2023, the Russian forces only captured 518 km2 (200 sq mi) of Ukrainian territory, despite huge losses on the battlefield"

200 square miles in the whole of 2023. Our previous calculation was based off Russia being able to capture and hold 100 miles per month.
At 200 square miles a year, Russia could capture all of the Donbas region in about... 30 years.

This doesn't include Kherson or the Western parts of Zaporizhzhia.




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Jul 20 2024 01:55pm
Quote (Djunior @ Jul 20 2024 08:49pm)
Putin clearly said that those are the pre-conditions for negotiations comrade and you just said you think Ukraine is going to be "partitioned" to use your own words.

So yes, if that happens it would be a huge victory for the Russians.

You understand what that means? --> A huge fat L for Ukraine and the West.

Now go on and tell us again that it's a great testing ground for NATO lmfao :thumbsup: :thumbsup:


Your not familiar with how negotiations work, are you?
He also said Ukraines military should disband before any negotiation can begin; You wanna make a bet that happens?
He also said NATO should be rolled back to not include Poland, Baltics and so on as his "demands" not to invade; At the time you admitted this is a negotiation tactic.

Funny how amnesia can be comrade.

This post was edited by Prox1m1ty on Jul 20 2024 01:57pm
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Jul 20 2024 01:58pm
Quote (Prox1m1ty @ Jul 20 2024 09:55pm)
Your not familiar with how negotiations work, are you?


The ones that are advancing on the battlefield and have the advantage in manpower and firepower are in a far better position to put down a bunch of demands.

What do you not understand exactly?

Ninja edit doesn't save you comrade :banana:
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Jul 20 2024 01:59pm
Quote (Djunior @ Jul 20 2024 08:58pm)
The ones that are advancing on the battlefield and have the advantage in manpower and firepower are in a far better position to put down a bunch of demands.

What do you not understand exactly?

Ninja edit doesn't save you comrade :banana:


Advancing by 50 miles a month? See you in 30 years for negotiation then :rofl:

Day 877 of 12053 of Russians limited in scope special military meatgrinder operation.

This post was edited by Prox1m1ty on Jul 20 2024 02:00pm
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Jul 20 2024 02:02pm
Quote (Prox1m1ty @ Jul 20 2024 09:59pm)
Advancing by 50 miles a month? See you in 30 years for negotiation then :rofl:


Completely not the point comrade.

The point is that Ukraine is losing badly and the longer this goes on the more they lose which is why they now talk about negotiations, something that was inconceivable.

You clearly didn't think this through did you :thumbsup:

This post was edited by Djunior on Jul 20 2024 02:03pm
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Jul 20 2024 02:05pm
Quote (Djunior @ Jul 20 2024 09:02pm)
Completely not the point comrade.

The point is that Ukraine is losing badly and the longer this goes on the more they lose which is why they now talk about negotiations, something that was inconceivable.

You clearly didn't think this through did you :thumbsup:


Based on what metrics?
Your imaginary belief that Russia's size somehow delineating an inevitable victory?

Your belief had you hoodwinked that this would take 3 months, lol

Putin had to buy the Chechens off after two dismal wars. This is his Afghanistan, you just can't bring yourself to smell the coffee.

This post was edited by Prox1m1ty on Jul 20 2024 02:06pm
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Jul 20 2024 02:10pm
Quote (Prox1m1ty @ Jul 20 2024 10:05pm)
Based on what metrics?


So you're taking this back already?

Epic flip flop you lasted mere minutes comrade :thumbsup:

Quote (Prox1m1ty @ Jul 20 2024 05:34pm)
Ukraine is heading toward partition.


lmfao :thumbsup:
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Jul 20 2024 02:11pm
Quote (Djunior @ Jul 20 2024 09:10pm)
So you're taking this back already?

Epic flip flop you lasted mere minutes comrade :thumbsup:



lmfao :thumbsup:


I'm asking you to prove how Russia is "winning" militarily.
I've just shown you how much territory they are taking each month, and how it could take 6 years at the same rate to capture even 2 of the 4 claimed Oblasts.
Stop dodging and start proving. Or just admit you are delirious.

This goes to negotiation and Ukraine is partitioned.

This post was edited by Prox1m1ty on Jul 20 2024 02:11pm
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