Quote (thesnipa @ Jun 14 2024 03:54pm)
while ive come around to the idea that the intel agencies were fairly involved i still dont like this absolutist perspective. it takes away agency from the ukranian people altogether. who have firstly been fostering an anti-russian sentiment for a long time, which goes back to soviet atrocities historically. we can track it simply just by looking at pro-western candidates for their presidency being a thing and gaining popularity election after election. and like any country they have differing factions, and the western half of the country is far more pro-western. then there's the fact that the ousted president wasn't in reality the russian puppet he was portrayed as, and instead strove for neutrality. so it's not an idea of west vs russia, its more west vs neutrality. that agency removal is also an issue because these people marched block by block and took the capital taking heavy losses the entire way from sniper fire, killing very few soldier in return. i think it takes a bit more than CIA sweet talk to force a campaign like that.
all this to say im still not convinced the CIA was a causal factor or instrumental. certainly a catalyst, but the coup could have still happened with next to zero promises from the USA. people did not want to do business with russia, then they lost an election which was a referendum on that topic. then they did a jan 6th times 100 coup, after months of escalating tensions and violence.
Few things, not all Ukrainian people, because literally half the country voted for the Pro-Russian guy, not decades, not years prior to the coup, but literally there and then.
Coups only happen when a critical mass of the underlying power structure changes. It's not as if Ukrainian generals, judges & other of the countries power brokers overnight or within weeks said fuck the long established order and let's do an about face to the other side and lets go chase out all the pro-Russians out of the country. It was years of priming this critical mass to be westward facing which involved (we will never truly know) a lot of dollars.
If we didn't have a long track record of doing color revolutions in about a dozen countries in South America, Asia, w.e. else during the cold war, i'd maybe be more skeptical and agree maybe the CIA didn't have a hand in it. But IMO it takes more faith to believe they didn't. I mean did they decide to turn a new leaf? For decades we got rid of commies in some of these exact same ways, empowering the side we want, to overthrow or keep out of power the commies, so why should i buy that all of the sudden our modus operandi changed?
This post was edited by ofthevoid on Jun 14 2024 02:06pm