During the 2010s, the PLA probably didn't have the capacity yet to break an American sea blockade. They've been stockpiling anti-ship missiles for years in an attempt to drive the US navy further and further away from the Chinese coast by threatening to overwhelm the defense of the US carrier groups; far enough that they eventually can't interfere anymore when China invades Taiwan. This goes back to the discussion about modern warfare moving away from having huge, sluggish, billion dollar targets.

Also note that China has very much been "winning" the economic competition between East and West. Time used to be generally on their side (and probably still is), so why take any risks?

And then there's also the issue that the PLA, unlike the Russian, Iranian or American military, is not battle-tested or battle-hardened at all. What if China starts a big war and then their troops turn out to be total failures? (Which is something that has happened to a lot of nations throughout history after they hadn't fought actual wars for decades.)

This post was edited by Black XistenZ on Apr 8 2024 05:07pm

Not exactly. I know ............ first hand.......even now.....I know what is happening inside....not too good .

Sure, thing's aren't going well inside China right now, but the same is true for the West.

Yes. What people don't understand is that even the freaking houthis have figured out that if you throw a bunch of shaheds at a destroyer, the destroyer wastes all its SM- class (1-10 mil a pop) missles shooting them down and then all they need is one AShM missle and bye bye floating graveyard and cwis systems (phalanx) can't shoot these down. There have been numerous blue team vs red team scenarios done in the past explaining this but now the west is realizing this in real time.

The same thing was happening with Russia against the Patriot battery's. The were firing duds at it to figure out its operational range and at what speed it operates, this is the reason why they switched to glide bombs and use hypersonics at will, you can simply overwhelm this multi billion dollar systems with lawnmower engines and a go pro.

Sure, but then again: does anyone seriously believe that the world will be unable to figure out how to defend against drones in the long run?

They already know how it's just half the people in this thread don't understand how "warfare works".

Namely never showing your enemy your true strengths. Let alone making available to the world your weaknesses.

It's like people thinking the US military is "weaker then it's ever been". Ok put that to the test and find out. Talk is cheap. Bombs are cheaper.

Well the most effective direct countermeasure so far is
EA/ EW/eccm
(Electronic counter measures) aka "frequency jamming' but the problem is that these systems are expensive and light up like Christmas trees once activated so they become juicy targets (hence why Russia has lost alot of these units)

https://spectrum.ieee.org/the-fall-and-rise-of-russian-electronic-warfare

Imo, the future of zoomer warfare will be a never ending cycle of radio jamming vs anti-jamming technology, as cheaply made drones have changed the nature of how warfare works. The real battle will be if the west can produce cheaply and easily portable EW systems cause no one is beating iran/China is quantity any time soon.

When you go full war economy. Anything is possible comrade.

This is clearly a W
https://wh40k.lexicanum.com/wiki/Mobile_Cathedral

Mad Max Vatnik Road