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Mar 30 2024 04:04pm
Quote (Meanwhile @ Mar 30 2024 10:50pm)
You are going the exact same way than these "200/200" estimate while your own source says more than 355k 1 month ago with close to 1k per day in last month... In 1 word: Wrong.


1: I´ve openly said, i doubt kill rate is higher than 1,5:1 in russian favour, probably both are close to 1:1. Despite clear advantage in terms of weapons i still think deathrates are similar because Russians have been on the offensive far longer in total.

2: i doubt dead are 100.000 on each side, probably closer 55-75 ish.

This post was edited by ownyaah on Mar 30 2024 04:07pm
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Mar 30 2024 04:13pm
Quote (bogie160 @ Mar 30 2024 09:59pm)
Frozen implies a lack of movement. Here we have a waterfall blasting a boulder until it breaks. The conflict is hot, people are dying, the Russians have another offensive imminently planned. We're going to get a resolution one way or the other.


Almost certainly that is conjecture. The front is enormous and in relation to the size of the front, there is and has been very little movement.
I do agree that the conflict is definitely hot in terms of active fighting but if Russia is unable to turn its obvious advantage in numbers into any actual movement, other than incremental gains then the front will remain largely frozen.

Which I think the Russians would more or less settle for. That said Putin doesn't have too much to fear in terms of pushback of his own population.
What is another 50 thousand dead undesirables? Probably a price he will pay to pacify all of Luhansk or more of the Donbas.
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Mar 30 2024 04:14pm
Quote (ownyaah @ Mar 30 2024 10:04pm)
1: I´ve openly said, i doubt kill rate is higher than 1,5:1 in russian favour, probably both are close to 1:1. Despite clear advantage in terms of weapons i still think deathrates are similar because Russians have been on the offensive far longer in total.

2: i doubt dead are 100.000 on each side, probably closer 55-75 ish.


Not a chance it is in Russia's favour. For the simple fact that if it was, Ukraine would likely have no active personal remaining.

They do.

This post was edited by Prox1m1ty on Mar 30 2024 04:15pm
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Mar 30 2024 04:30pm
Quote (Prox1m1ty @ Mar 30 2024 07:13pm)

I do agree that the conflict is definitely hot in terms of active fighting

Lmao never change
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Mar 30 2024 04:31pm
Quote (bogie160 @ Mar 30 2024 09:59pm)
Frozen implies a lack of movement. Here we have a waterfall blasting a boulder until it breaks. The conflict is hot, people are dying, the Russians have another offensive imminently planned. We're going to get a resolution one way or the other.


tend to agree. Russia has conscripted 500,000 more men, Ukraine has not. 500,000 is alot, but not enough to seize all of Ukraine. while there will be events this year, it is not going to be over this year. My view is Ukraine will be in a terrible position by the end of the year (or else Nato involvement and then we are all FUBAR).

Quote (ownyaah @ Mar 30 2024 10:04pm)
1: I´ve openly said, i doubt kill rate is higher than 1,5:1 in russian favour, probably both are close to 1:1. Despite clear advantage in terms of weapons i still think deathrates are similar because Russians have been on the offensive far longer in total.

2: i doubt dead are 100.000 on each side, probably closer 55-75 ish.


this is the (broad) ratio / numbers that the US is also quoted as stating.

This post was edited by ferdia on Mar 30 2024 04:34pm
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Mar 30 2024 04:40pm
Quote (DizzyBusiness @ Mar 30 2024 10:30pm)
Lmao never change


https://forums.d2jsp.org/user.php?i=1371836&c=40&o=0

The chronicles of a sad troll with nothing to say :thumbsup:

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Mar 30 2024 04:49pm
Quote (ownyaah @ Mar 30 2024 12:55pm)
If I´m United states (a nuclear power), I´m going to get super concerned about Cuba.

/s


ownyaah uses whataboutism. It is not effective (or even analogous).

Now if we were to start talking about China moving nukes in Algeria, maybe that'd be cause for their concern? But Algeria merely aligning with the ChiComs is wholly unimportant in the grand scheme of things.
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Mar 30 2024 04:55pm
Quote (Santara @ Mar 30 2024 11:49pm)
ownyaah uses whataboutism. It is not effective (or even analogous).

Now if we were to start talking about China moving nukes in Algeria, maybe that'd be cause for their concern? But Algeria merely aligning with the ChiComs is wholly unimportant in the grand scheme of things.


France was trying to set up a military invasion of niger, which is 3226 km away for seeking Russian assistance.

Highschool dropout, goes to join the army.. Tale as old as time

This post was edited by ownyaah on Mar 30 2024 04:55pm
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Mar 30 2024 04:56pm
Something is happening in Odesa right now

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Mar 30 2024 04:56pm
Quote (Prox1m1ty @ Mar 30 2024 07:40pm)
https://forums.d2jsp.org/user.php?i=1371836&c=40&o=0

The chronicles of a sad troll with nothing to say :thumbsup:

Lmao couldn't think of anything to say so you had to find some "dirt" for that scathing reply huh?

Do you intentionally make this enjoyable for me?
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