Quote (Goomshill @ Mar 14 2024 08:44pm)
Russia is winning the war, spinning it as 'only 19% of Ukraine' is like saying America successfully occupied all of Afghanistan for a full 20 years.
We all know how this ends
Sure. If "winning" the war is 19% of Ukraines territory, they have smashed it out the park; Not sure why that was a sore point for you?
They made the 4 Oblasts part of the Russian federation, and they don't even control all of any of those Oblasts... So spinning it as a win is kind of threadbare even by Russian expectation.
I can foresee Russian pushing and gaining ground over this year. Especially if more US equipment is not forthcoming.
Talking about winning or losing is pretty infantile. Theres going to be a negotiation at some stage and what matters is the military position either side possesses at that stage.
As it stands Russian ground forces have or are close to gaining a tactical advantage. Near air support is proving effective, even if it has meant the loss of a large amount of fast jets in a short time.
Ukraine have made a tactical success in forcing the Russian navy east, even abandoning Sevastopol as a main base; They are degrading Russian oil infrastructure with drone attacks which Russia is seemingly unable to prevent.
This however is asymmetrical success and won't greatly effect any leverage Ukraine can have in any negotiation.
Afaik Putin came out in an interview and said there is no point in negotiating if Ukraine is running low on ammunition.
This post was edited by Prox1m1ty on Mar 14 2024 02:57pm