Quote (Bazi @ Dec 18 2020 12:46pm)
“We were always going to have a winter season spike”
The point is the degree. Yes look at Europe, they brought their case load down and how are they doing per capita compared to us? The majority of countries will not be at risk of hospital saturation. VS the United States where literally every state is at risk
The mistake is thinking the US is remotely comparable to ANY first world country in terms of disease burden. By every objective metric we are doing worse than every established country. Idk why anyone is even trying to make comparisons, there is no legitimate point to be made other than how poorly we have handled it
You said if cases went down properly the situation would not have been as drastic. I point to Europe because for a long time people gave that as an example of what went down properly meant. Even with their lower rates over the summer they still saw a pretty strong spike between October and November where they actually had higher numbers than ours.
The point is not to compare Europe to the US, the point is that some of the measures we thought would work have no evidence that they actually did but here we are trying to implement them longer and longer. Hopefully, the vaccine gives us long term immunity but if not we can't keep applying blunt tools that actually do more damage and are basically being implemented on notions "well it makes sense that if we close more businesses down then people wouldn't catch or spread Covid" Does it really though? Does the small business being closed help but the thousands of people that are funneled into the same walmarts, targets, etc not have an impact?