Quote (ferdia @ 13 Feb 2024 22:41)
quite surprising from Reuters. what is all this negative press about Biden, is Michelle Obama / Gavin Gavin Newsom a white whale or is this in the realms of possibility ? do they really think that Biden can win against Trump? Trump is looking very strong against Biden right now.
Never underestimate Trump's chance to shoot himself in the foot. And don't underestimate how much large swaths of the American public hate his guts. He can definitely win, I would even say he's the slight favorite as of today. But I don't believe for one second that Trump can win in a landslide, or that he's nearly as favored as he should be based on the polls and approval ratings.
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Do you have a general view of Reuters ? as a media wing for the US government I mean.
Reuters is one of the few remaining news agencies without overt partisan bias. They have some geopolitical bias in favor of the US, but so do most other news agencies in favor of their respective master.
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Also, what is your current view of Russia's goals re: Ukraine? IMO If Russia wanted all of Ukraine it would have conscripted a few million men already, surely a ceasefire is logical from a Russian perspective or how do you see this ? The Russians have for years now repeated stated their wish for a ceasefire, or do you believe this is a lie ?
I don't know the details of this most recent ceasefire proposal, but in the past, Russia has repeatedly asked for terms which amount to a total surrender of Ukrainian sovereignty. The crux will be if the remainder of Ukraine is allowed to join the EU and/or NATO if it officially cedes the Russia-controlled pieces of its territory.
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with brevity, Ukraine wants all of Ukraine back but lacks the means to do it. Russia appears happy with what it has and has, for over a year now, sought peace. this looks factual to me. We had this same argument last year - Ukraine is not willing to accept these terms therefore the war rages on, the net consequence is Ukraine is likely to lose more land and more people (russia will also lose alot of men).
I don't think so. If Russia was happy with what it has and sought peace, they wouldn't continue, or even intensify, their attacks. Why do they keep throwing huge amounts of meat and materiel at the frontlines, why do they keep shelling cities across all of Ukraine? Why did they just announce that they will invest massively into arming up their military over the coming years if all they strive for is holding the territory which they just defended successfully this summer with the current investment level?
None of this adds up. If Russia sought peace, they could stop shelling cities across Ukraine for a couple of weeks, as a gesture of goodwill, and then publicly announce "the territory we took belongs to us now. Acknowledge it and we will have peace. Try any new counteroffensive and the shelling starts again." The war-weary Western public, and presumably a significant chunk of Ukraine's population, would gladly take such a deal.
This post was edited by Black XistenZ on Feb 13 2024 04:31pm