Quote (ofthevoid @ 18 Jan 2024 16:19)
Doubtful
Unless the Russians start marching on Berlin, there's a near zero chance Germany would actually directly get involved. Sure, there may be some contingency plans and what not, but this is highly unlikely.
Oh, I do believe that Germans would be smart enough to fight a hypothetical Russian invasion of Poland, if only for the simple reason that it's better for the fighting to take place on someone else's soil than on their own territory.
That being said, the whole rationale doesn't hold up to logical scrutiny. This talking point about how "we'd be next if Ukraine falls" is mostly propaganda to keep up public support for Ukraine, and for the massive investment into re-arming the German military.
But then again, this investment into re-building our defense capabilities is indeed needed. Not so much because a Russian land invasion of the EU would actually have a chance at success, but to deter them from even entertaining the thought. Likewise, the situation in Turkey, the Middle East and many African places is getting more and more sketchy, so Europe should have the military capacity to get things done on its own. We can't allow a repeat of the Libya situation from 2011, when France and the UK dragged the US into the conflict. For those of you who don't remember: Obama was sceptical of an involvement in Libya, but Paris and London pushed forward on their own. Then, after less than a week, they ran out of ammo and came begging the US for support.
This post was edited by Black XistenZ on Jan 18 2024 11:33am