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Dec 12 2023 04:13pm
Quote (Meanwhile @ Dec 12 2023 01:19pm)
- Russia has tremendous more amount losses than Ukraine. Russia has lost 87% of troops it had prior to start of Ukraine. Second army in the world is no more.
- Ukraine military intelligence hacked Russian tax authorities. The hacks resulted in the complete destruction of the infrastructure of one of the main state bodies of Russia and revealed a multitude of tax data, which is now in the hands of Ukraine.

DOomed.


Of the 360,000 troops that entered Ukraine, including contract and conscript personnel, Russia has lost 315,000 on the battlefield, according to the assessment. 2,200 of 3,500 tanks have been lost, according to the assessment. 4,400 of 13,600 infantry fighting vehicles and armored personnel carriers have also been destroyed, a 32 percent loss rate.
“As of late November, Russia lost over a quarter of its pre-invasion stockpiles of ground forces equipment,” the assessment reads. “This has reduced the complexity and scale of Russian offensive operations, which have failed to make major gains in Ukraine since early 2022.”


Wow cool!

Wait until he sees how much the USSR lost while winning the war against Nazi Germany.
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Dec 12 2023 04:40pm
Quote (Thebarba @ Dec 12 2023 11:13pm)
Wow cool!

Wait until he sees how much the USSR lost while winning the war against Nazi Germany.


Apples and oranges, World War 2 was an existential threat to Russia, it had no choice.

Ukraine does not pose such a threat to Russia, this is similar to Winter+Continuation War where 550,000 dead Russians+some land did the job.

Considering the deep historical connections between Ukraine and Russia, 550,000 dead Russians may not suffice; the figure may need to reach around 700,000-900,000. At that point, Ukraine might have to officially cede Crimea and the Eastern Parts still under Russian control at that point, assuming Putin's regime doesn't collapse by then.

It would be intriguing to observe the aftermath if Putin were to pass away naturally, as Russia lacks a clear successor. It's ironic how dictatorships, constructed around the concentration of power, tend to unravel in chaotic disarray when that focal point dissolves.

Regardless, Ukraine needs to get killing, additional 400,000-600,000 dead or severely wounded Russians is the key here.

This post was edited by Uber23 on Dec 12 2023 04:41pm
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Dec 12 2023 05:13pm
Quote (Black XistenZ @ Dec 12 2023 11:08pm)
Achieving a lasting peace is a bit more complicated than going "just give the Russians some concessions and it will all be over". Particularly at a time when Russia (presumably) thinks that their military position will improve the longer this goes on.

I've said it before and will happily reiterate: the best course of action for Ukraine is to wait until the next major Russian offensive has been stopped, probably next spring. Then and only then can they hope to achieve lasting peace with concessions which fall short of unconditional surrender.

---------------------------------------------------------------

Regarding the aid packages: if this war has shown one thing, it's that it is extremely difficult for a land-based military to dislodge the enemy from a fortified position without proper air support. And since neither side has been able to gain anything even remotely resembling air superiority, it must - for now - be assumed that this war will continue to be characterized by a super pronounced defender's advantage. Russia has taken exactly one larger city over the past 18 months. This notion that they're now on the verge of steamrolling Ukraine seems absurd to me.

Hence, the amount of military aid that Ukraine needs to hold the current lines (minus the Avdiivka salient, which is probably untenable) should imho be far lower than $60bn. Someone in the Pentagon should calculate how much military aid Ukraine actually needs per year to sustain the current status quo. Then we can have a debate about whether this expense is worth it or not.


Plausible speculation, not emotional or unhinged. Miracle :santa:

I would add tho, it is a risky venture/position. Russia military spending increased by 70% (obv a bit less, as ruble lost value but gotta factor in in PPP, so i would argue it is still a massive inc of resources for the military) for 2024, so unless the next major offensive is completely loopsided, 1 offensive won´t be the end of it. Could also be that there won´t be any real offensive, but rather attrition with small incursions all over the from, what happens then, when do you call it quits?

Personally I see that Russia is building up a massive reserve and gearing up production hard, for a very long sustained offensive rather than a large arrow.

This post was edited by ownyaah on Dec 12 2023 05:31pm
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Dec 12 2023 05:14pm
Quote (Thebarba @ 12 Dec 2023 23:13)
Wow cool!
Wait until he sees how much the USSR lost while winning the war against Nazi Germany.


Gulag and Holomordor, let's talk about this.

This post was edited by Meanwhile on Dec 12 2023 05:22pm
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Dec 12 2023 05:29pm
help the pool people
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Dec 12 2023 05:47pm
Quote (ofthevoid @ 12 Dec 2023 22:27)
They aren't steam rolling but are pushing on many key front towns. Going on the defensive is another prolongation of war with some expectation of attacking once their offensive stops. We've been over this a few times. At some point there has to be a sober take that the time for peace is now, not some just over the horizon "just a little longer" that just keeps getting extended endlessly. Small pieces of territory that may be gained/lost are secondary now IMO. It's the fact that there's hundreds of thousands of people stuck in cold holes with many of them dying daily. Why wait 3 more months, 6 more months, another year?

Imho, there is no longer an expectation of Ukraine going on the counteroffensive again, not even after they have beaten back a hypothetical Russian winter or spring offense. I think that ship has sailed, and almost everybody knows it. Maybe not in the president's bunker in Kyiv, but the Ukrainian generals are well aware of how miserably their 2023 counteroffensive failed.



What you still don't really want to address is that both sides must agree that "the time for peace is now". Short of an unconditional surrender, Ukraine has no way to unilaterally end this war. As long as Russia believes that Ukraine will crumble, or lose a critical amount of Western support, their calculus is that they will eventually get everything they want if only the war goes on long enough. Why should they agree to a reasonable negotiated peace under these circumstances? The political damage has already been done anyway, they've already alienated the West about as much as possible and their military already got exposed as overrated.

A failed Russian offense has the potential to change this calculus by showing Putin that the cost in terms of soldiers, gear and money for continuing the war will be gigantic, so that it might be better to take a Ukrainian proposal in which he gets 70% of what he wanted. Right now, he thinks that his military has weathered the storm of the surge in Ukrainian strength after the massive arms supplies from NATO; and that things will get easier for Russia from here on out.

This post was edited by Black XistenZ on Dec 12 2023 05:48pm
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Dec 12 2023 06:20pm
Quote (Meanwhile @ Dec 12 2023 03:19pm)
- Russia has tremendous more amount losses than Ukraine. Russia has lost 87% of troops it had prior to start of Ukraine. Second army in the world is no more.
- Ukraine military intelligence hacked Russian tax authorities. The hacks resulted in the complete destruction of the infrastructure of one of the main state bodies of Russia and revealed a multitude of tax data, which is now in the hands of Ukraine.

DOomed.


Of the 360,000 troops that entered Ukraine, including contract and conscript personnel, Russia has lost 315,000 on the battlefield, according to the assessment. 2,200 of 3,500 tanks have been lost, according to the assessment. 4,400 of 13,600 infantry fighting vehicles and armored personnel carriers have also been destroyed, a 32 percent loss rate.
“As of late November, Russia lost over a quarter of its pre-invasion stockpiles of ground forces equipment,” the assessment reads. “This has reduced the complexity and scale of Russian offensive operations, which have failed to make major gains in Ukraine since early 2022.”


lol if you think 87% of russian troops are dead you're reading iwroteitmyselfnews.com, secondly if you think Russia losing its tax data to Ukraine vs Russia knocking out half of their countries telecoms is any way a level scale well, I wont debate with you in this thread again.

Its just a matter of time before Ukraine over throws Zelensky for betraying his country at the hands of money to the US
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Dec 12 2023 07:27pm
the propaganda knows no boundaries, only idiots believe these reported casualties, absolutely ridiculous

the west reports stalingrad numbers and the kremlin a neighborhood gunfight, so far so good

ukraine is not giving real numbers and the pentagon reports are just as good as putins

but since the failed ukranian offensive we have reached peak absurdity

for months ukraine attacked solid russian defensive positions with russia having both artillery and air superiority, but russia suffered more casualties

:rofl: :lol:

this has literally never even remotely happened in history

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Dec 12 2023 07:42pm
Quote (JohnnyMcCoy @ Dec 12 2023 07:27pm)
the propaganda knows no boundaries, only idiots believe these reported casualties, absolutely ridiculous

the west reports stalingrad numbers and the kremlin a neighborhood gunfight, so far so good

ukraine is not giving real numbers and the pentagon reports are just as good as putins

but since the failed ukranian offensive we have reached peak absurdity

for months ukraine attacked solid russian defensive positions with russia having both artillery and air superiority, but russia suffered more casualties

:rofl: :lol:

this has literally never even remotely happened in history





Determining the winner in a hypothetical dogfight between the F-35 and the Su-35 involves several factors and is largely speculative. Both aircraft are advanced and have their own strengths and weaknesses.

The F-35, developed by Lockheed Martin, is a fifth-generation multirole stealth fighter, known for its advanced avionics, stealth capabilities, and sensor fusion. It's designed to excel in both air-to-ground and air-to-air missions, with a significant focus on stealth and information warfare.

The Su-35, developed by Sukhoi, is a highly maneuverable, fourth-generation Russian fighter. While it lacks the advanced stealth features of the F-35, it compensates with superior agility, speed, and a powerful array of sensors and weapons. The Su-35 is also known for its thrust-vectoring engines, which grant it exceptional maneuverability.

In a dogfight:

Stealth and First Look/First Shot: The F-35's stealth capabilities give it a significant advantage in being able to detect and engage the enemy before being detected itself.

Maneuverability: The Su-35 excels in close-range dogfights due to its superior maneuverability and thrust-vectoring capabilities.

Sensors and Avionics: The F-35 has advanced sensors and avionics, enabling it to have better situational awareness. The Su-35 also has advanced radar and sensors but might be at a disadvantage against the stealth characteristics of the F-35.

Pilot Training and Tactics: The outcome can also depend heavily on the training and tactics employed by the pilots of each aircraft.

External Factors: Environmental conditions, mission parameters, and support from other forces (like AWACS or ground-based radar) can significantly influence the outcome.

In conclusion, while the F-35 may have an edge in stealth and advanced systems, the Su-35's maneuverability and raw performance make it a formidable opponent. The actual outcome of such a dogfight would depend on numerous factors beyond the aircraft's specifications alone.

This post was edited by ChatGPT on Dec 12 2023 07:43pm
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Dec 12 2023 07:45pm
Russia has this war in the bag, its done. 12/12/2023 marked the ending of this war.

This post was edited by ChatGPT on Dec 12 2023 07:45pm
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