Quote (bogie160 @ 18 Sep 2023 02:06)
I think that you have a very different working definition of the word "fair". If we're entering into a business arrangement, and I bring 75% of the capital, it's fair that I receive 75% of the expected reward. That's to say that a fair compromise takes into account the reality on the ground. Ukraine will need to give up land in order to secure peace. How much? I have no idea, but it starts with accepting that Crimea and the Donbass are out of reach. Both of these places refused to accept the authority of the Maidan government, which would seem to make this an easy decision. Get rid of the baggage and move forward with a united Ukraine that is fully backed by NATO.
I fail to see how giving up land actually achieves the securing peace part. A couple of years down the line, once Russia has replenished its military resources, what stops them from trying to take the rest of Ukraine yet again?
This would only work if whatever is left of Ukraine was officially allowed to join NATO right away. But that's fairly unrealistic. First, it would go diametrically against a ton of the Kremlin propaganda, so them accepting this provision in a peace deal would cause Putin to lose face with his own people and generals. Second, I don't see much appetite among the current NATO states for admitting Ukraine into the alliance before the conflict has truly calmed down. At the end of the day, the Germans, French, Italians as well as at least 40% of Americans aren't really willing to go to war against Russia over Ukraine. And all it takes is one nation, be it Hungary, Turkey or someone else, to block Ukraine's accession.