d2jsp
Log InRegister
d2jsp Forums > Off-Topic > General Chat > Political & Religious Debate > Russia / Ukraine
Prev1322332243225322632274526Next
Add Reply New Topic New Poll
Member
Posts: 43,353
Joined: Aug 25 2008
Gold: 49,320.00
Aug 2 2023 08:07am
Quote (babun1024 @ 2 Aug 2023 18:02)
https://tribune.net.ph/2023/07/30/america-hands-taiwan-345-m-military-aid/

I won't comment for the faint one but people with brains would interpret the info accordingly.


They want to get rid of their old stocks asap.
It is a win win situation for the United States. The timing of the sales and political climate and mood is just the right time.
Member
Posts: 16,935
Joined: Feb 24 2018
Gold: 7,398.00
Aug 2 2023 08:16am
Quote (Hamsterbaby @ Aug 2 2023 04:07pm)
They want to get rid of their old stocks asap.
It is a win win situation for the United States. The timing of the sales and political climate and mood is just the right time.


They're using American tax money to finance the aid, they're diverting stuff which could be sent to Ukraine. Ukraine isn't getting enough ammunition as of now.
Member
Posts: 43,353
Joined: Aug 25 2008
Gold: 49,320.00
Aug 2 2023 08:40am


Quote (babun1024 @ 2 Aug 2023 22:16)
They're using American tax money to finance the aid, they're diverting stuff which could be sent to Ukraine. Ukraine isn't getting enough ammunition as of now.


Maybe the mood in the Foreign Policy Establishment is that Ukraine proxy war is either coming to an end or the ROI is not as good as it seems.
So now they are finally diverting their attention to Taiwan and East Asia.

I have said in this thread before, it goes back to very early last year when I first posted in Ferdia's thread. The Ukraine war is a continuation of Biden's Ukraine's Port folio during his stint in the Obama's administration with Nuland.
They want to put the final nail in Russia's coffin and concentrate on their main target China.

USA's Engage and Hedge policy with China started to crumble when Xi took office ( It is a whole other conversation as to why it failed).
Which is why they decided to pivot East.

My Prime Minister Lee Kuan Yew , Henry Kissinger and Helmut Schmidt ( They are life long buddies by the way If you are German you will know who Schmidt is) told the Republicans and Democrats in close door meetings to pivot to Asia as soon as possible in the late 90s and early 2000s.
The discussion was, the earlier you pivot the earlier you set certain terms and conditions and rules with the Chinese, the easier it is to manage and handle their rise which will prevent future conflicts. But of course they didn't listen.

As to why they didn't listen.....

American Corporate were making an immeasurable amount of profits from the Chinese Market.
The cheap labors , no unions, the production of American products 24/7 at an extremely cheap cost etc etc etc....

This post was edited by Hamsterbaby on Aug 2 2023 08:45am
Member
Posts: 4,145
Joined: Jun 30 2022
Gold: 4.91
Warn: 20%
Aug 2 2023 10:29am
Quote (Hamsterbaby @ Aug 2 2023 11:40am)
Maybe the mood in the Foreign Policy Establishment is that Ukraine proxy war is either coming to an end or the ROI is not as good as it seems.
So now they are finally diverting their attention to Taiwan and East Asia.

I have said in this thread before, it goes back to very early last year when I first posted in Ferdia's thread. The Ukraine war is a continuation of Biden's Ukraine's Port folio during his stint in the Obama's administration with Nuland.
They want to put the final nail in Russia's coffin and concentrate on their main target China.

USA's Engage and Hedge policy with China started to crumble when Xi took office ( It is a whole other conversation as to why it failed).
Which is why they decided to pivot East.

My Prime Minister Lee Kuan Yew , Henry Kissinger and Helmut Schmidt ( They are life long buddies by the way If you are German you will know who Schmidt is) told the Republicans and Democrats in close door meetings to pivot to Asia as soon as possible in the late 90s and early 2000s.
The discussion was, the earlier you pivot the earlier you set certain terms and conditions and rules with the Chinese, the easier it is to manage and handle their rise which will prevent future conflicts. But of course they didn't listen.

As to why they didn't listen.....

American Corporate were making an immeasurable amount of profits from the Chinese Market.
The cheap labors , no unions, the production of American products 24/7 at an extremely cheap cost etc etc etc....


The "War on Terror" was the pivot to Asia IMO, it doesn't really make much sense to me unless the purpose was to limit the flow of energy to China and to also destabilize their planned route for the belt and road initiative.

I really don't think long term US foreign policy switches every 4-8 years with a new president, I just don't believe that is how things are conducted at that level, the amount of money and resources dedicated to these things create a lot of momentum that can't just be stopped without serious consequences.

Allowing US corporations to operate in China was done to integrate China into western liberal democracy, I think the US genuinely believed in Fukuyama's "end of history" theory which is why they allowed their manufacturing to be sent there.
Member
Posts: 91,155
Joined: Dec 31 2007
Gold: 2,504.69
Aug 2 2023 10:42am
Quote (DizzyBusiness @ Aug 2 2023 11:29am)
The "War on Terror" was the pivot to Asia IMO, it doesn't really make much sense to me unless the purpose was to limit the flow of energy to China and to also destabilize their planned route for the belt and road initiative.

I really don't think long term US foreign policy switches every 4-8 years with a new president, I just don't believe that is how things are conducted at that level, the amount of money and resources dedicated to these things create a lot of momentum that can't just be stopped without serious consequences.

Allowing US corporations to operate in China was done to integrate China into western liberal democracy, I think the US genuinely believed in Fukuyama's "end of history" theory which is why they allowed their manufacturing to be sent there.


personally i find this theory to be smart, but too smart for those involved. the war on terror was just pumping money into corporations that would make the weapons and items for reconstruction. even back to post-WW2 the reconstruction of germany was done purely to have an ally subject to our whims and pump cash to companies that made the items via US tax dollars. and chinese outsourcing was more about making a quick buck IMO than the new world order running a psy-op on chinese culture.

they may have been tertiary goals, but it was primarily motivated by $$$.
Member
Posts: 43,353
Joined: Aug 25 2008
Gold: 49,320.00
Aug 2 2023 10:46am
Quote (DizzyBusiness @ 3 Aug 2023 00:29)
The "War on Terror" was the pivot to Asia IMO, it doesn't really make much sense to me unless the purpose was to limit the flow of energy to China and to also destabilize their planned route for the belt and road initiative.

I really don't think long term US foreign policy switches every 4-8 years with a new president, I just don't believe that is how things are conducted at that level, the amount of money and resources dedicated to these things create a lot of momentum that can't just be stopped without serious consequences.

Allowing US corporations to operate in China was done to integrate China into western liberal democracy, I think the US genuinely believed in Fukuyama's "end of history" theory which is why they allowed their manufacturing to be sent there.


They obviously didn't read Frank's Political order and political decay that he release in 2014 :lol:
And also during that period where Frankie wrote " end of history " there were a few debates between him and his professor Sam Huntington who wrote the controversial The Clash of Civilization

By and large the four great Political Scholars Samuel Huntington , Francis Fukuyama, John Mearsheimer and Graham Allison they are extremely good reads and we can analysis it out of them and see what applies to our current situation.

Dizzy can you do me a favor by doing this really short 1 page read below ?
LMK

https://www.e-ir.info/2018/04/22/huntington-vs-mearsheimer-vs-fukuyama-which-post-cold-war-thesis-is-most-accurate/

I am also inclined to take a look at Richard K. Betts to see what he thinks.

These are some of Betts Books

Nuclear Blackmail and Nuclear Balance (Washington, DC:Brookings Institution, 1987)

Military Readiness: Concepts, Choices, Consequences (Washington, DC:Brookings Institution, 1995)

Enemies of Intelligence: Knowledge and Power in National Security (New York: Columbia University Press, 2007)

American Force: Dangers, Delusions, and Dilemmas in National Security" (New York: Columbia University Press, 2012)


This post was edited by Hamsterbaby on Aug 2 2023 10:48am
Member
Posts: 43,353
Joined: Aug 25 2008
Gold: 49,320.00
Aug 2 2023 11:39am

, , , , ,

Watch this you won't regret. Talks aboutt about US, China and Russia
And also Europe. The video was put together by an Australian I believe and he did a summary.


, if you are interested have a look.



This post was edited by Hamsterbaby on Aug 2 2023 11:40am
Member
Posts: 4,145
Joined: Jun 30 2022
Gold: 4.91
Warn: 20%
Aug 2 2023 11:56am
Quote (thesnipa @ Aug 2 2023 01:42pm)
personally i find this theory to be smart, but too smart for those involved. the war on terror was just pumping money into corporations that would make the weapons and items for reconstruction. even back to post-WW2 the reconstruction of germany was done purely to have an ally subject to our whims and pump cash to companies that made the items via US tax dollars. and chinese outsourcing was more about making a quick buck IMO than the new world order running a psy-op on chinese culture.

they may have been tertiary goals, but it was primarily motivated by $$$.


That thought does make me doubt my beliefs for sure, I might be seeing 4D chess when they are really playing checkers.

I just see the war on terror as a drastic change in how US foreign policy was conducted and I don't think it would have been motivated purely by financial gain.

I think the reconstruction of Germany was more about creating a western controlled bulwark against communism and stopping the resurrection of fascism while also extending US influence through Europe via a stranglehold on manufacturing. I think a lot of that stuff was based on heartland theory and it's various offshoots.

I don’t think the term psyop is really appropriate in this context, IMO the general thinking was that China would naturally gravitate to a western liberal style democracy over time and allowing US corporations to operate there would speed up the process. Making tons of money was obviously nice but not worth the long term cost of destroying US industry.


They probably didn't read it, why would they value his views at that point(2014)? His theory had already failed in their eyes and if my theory about the war on terror is correct they were already more than a decade into their strategy of containing China.

And I checked out that link, very interesting. My opinion is they were all correct in some ways and wrong in others, I don't think any of their theories completely explain things but I do think they offer valuable perspective. I need to read clash of civilization, I have read summaries of it but not the actual book.

Haven't heard of Betts, will check him out for sure, thanks!

This post was edited by DizzyBusiness on Aug 2 2023 11:57am
Member
Posts: 43,353
Joined: Aug 25 2008
Gold: 49,320.00
Aug 2 2023 11:58am
Quote (DizzyBusiness @ 3 Aug 2023 01:56)
That thought does make me doubt my beliefs for sure, I might be seeing 4D chess when they are really playing checkers.

I just see the war on terror as a drastic change in how US foreign policy was conducted and I don't think it would have been motivated purely by financial gain.

I think the reconstruction of Germany was more about creating a western controlled bulwark against communism and stopping the resurrection of fascism while also extending US influence through Europe via a stranglehold on manufacturing. I think a lot of that stuff was based on heartland theory and it's various offshoots.

I don’t think the term psyop is really appropriate in this context, IMO the general thinking was that China would naturally gravitate to a western liberal style democracy over time and allowing US corporations to operate there would speed up the process. Making tons of money was obviously nice but not worth the long term cost of destroying US industry.

^Hamsterbaby
They probably didn't read it, why would they value his views at that point(2014)? His theory had already failed in their eyes and if my theory about the war on terror is correct they were already more than a decade into their strategy of containing China.

And I checked out that link, very interesting. My opinion is they were all correct in some ways and wrong in others, I don't think any of their theories completely explain things but I do think they offer valuable perspective. I need to read clash of civilization, I have read summaries of it but not the actual book.

Haven't heard of Betts, will check him out for sure, thanks!


also the new video I posted :lol:
Member
Posts: 52,461
Joined: May 26 2005
Gold: 4,404.67
Aug 2 2023 12:23pm
Quote (thesnipa @ 2 Aug 2023 18:42)
personally i find this theory to be smart, but too smart for those involved. the war on terror was just pumping money into corporations that would make the weapons and items for reconstruction. even back to post-WW2 the reconstruction of germany was done purely to have an ally subject to our whims and pump cash to companies that made the items via US tax dollars. and chinese outsourcing was more about making a quick buck IMO than the new world order running a psy-op on chinese culture.

they may have been tertiary goals, but it was primarily motivated by $$$.


Yes, greed and profits were the main motivator for the integration of China into the global economy (specifically them joining the WTO in 2001 after Bill Clinton had paved the way). This move opened up a new market with potentially hundreds of millions of consumers to Western corporations, and likewise promised hundreds of millions of new cheap laborers to whom production could be outsourced, putting pressure on wages in the West, to the benefit of transnational corporations. On a higher meta-level, opening up the cheap Chinese production was causing the price of goods to go down, which papered over the devastating effect the neoliberal economic policies since the 80s had on the bottom ~60% of the Western population. They didn't fully feel the sting of of their declining or stagnating real wages because they could suddenly afford more cheap shit, all while goods and assets of real value increasingly slipped out of reach.

Reckless greed and short-term profit seeking also explains why Western companies were initially so naive when it came to China's theft of intellectual property. In some sense, the way we handled China is an example of the famous Lenin quote about capitalists selling their enemies the rope with which they'll be hanged.
Go Back To Political & Religious Debate Topic List
Prev1322332243225322632274526Next
Add Reply New Topic New Poll