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Jun 25 2023 03:14am
Quote (DizzyBusiness @ 25 Jun 2023 12:04)
I was needlessly combative in my initial response so it isn't really your fault, I started it lol, I just took it personally when I should have addressed what you said in good faith since I generally agree with your views on these things. So I apologize for the rudeness.

I consider you much more educated on politics and international affairs than I am, you are one of the posters who keep me interested in this thread actually. That said I think we are living in strange times and that unconventional perspectives can have some value.

I think Prigozhin is basically a disinformation agent for Russia and I think Wagner is just an arm of the Russian military which has the freedom to act with some plausible deniability. So that is the lens I view their actions through, the only way this being an actual coup attempt makes sense to me is if Prigozhin lost his mind, which may be possible but more likely that I either have a flawed view of Wagner/Prigozhin or it was some sort of information warfare.


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Jun 25 2023 03:29am
Long story short: mustached Mussolini bribed Stauffenberg. Dismiss. Operation Valkyrie has failed.



This post was edited by Norlander on Jun 25 2023 03:32am
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Jun 25 2023 03:37am
I think for some time now wagner group have complained about the role that they have played, and that there were perceived (or real) slights, and that something gave, the proverbial straw that broke the camels back, but that they rowed back at the last minute. thats my view, for now.

also its nice to see a level of maturity here from people, god knows there are a few posters that would never apologize for anything, heaven forbid that they would be called "apologists" -_-

This post was edited by ferdia on Jun 25 2023 03:38am
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Jun 25 2023 03:47am
Quote (ferdia @ 25 Jun 2023 12:37)
I think for some time now wagner group have complained about the role that they have played, and that there were perceived (or real) slights, and that something gave, the proverbial straw that broke the camels back, but that they rowed back at the last minute. thats my view, for now.

also its nice to see a level of maturity here from people, god knows there are a few posters that would never apologize for anything, heaven forbid that they would be called "apologists" -_-


Conversation between Dizzy and ownyaah was a good example of maturity, I must admit
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Jun 25 2023 03:52am
Quote (DizzyBusiness @ Jun 25 2023 11:04am)
I was needlessly combative in my initial response so it isn't really your fault, I started it lol, I just took it personally when I should have addressed what you said in good faith since I generally agree with your views on these things. So I apologize for the rudeness.

I consider you much more educated on politics and international affairs than I am, you are one of the posters who keep me interested in this thread actually. That said I think we are living in strange times and that unconventional perspectives can have some value.

I think Prigozhin is basically a disinformation agent for Russia and I think Wagner is just an arm of the Russian military which has the freedom to act with some plausible deniability. So that is the lens I view their actions through, the only way this being an actual coup attempt makes sense to me is if Prigozhin lost his mind, which may be possible but more likely that I either have a flawed view of Wagner/Prigozhin or it was some sort of information warfare.


Wagner is basically the Kremlin's private army. As you probably know they're engaged in lots of places where they offer help in armed conflicts in exchange for a cut of the natural resources like for example Syria where Wagner helped "liberate" oil wells for the Syrian government in exchange for a whopping 25% cut of all oil profits from those wells.

Same goes for goldmines in Africa. So Wagner not only increases Russian influence but also generates a significant flow of money that flows back to the Kremlin via a network of companies so it cannot be linked to Wagner.

Wagner is important and Prigozhin and Putin are close. Prigozhin was never going to Moscow to overthrow Putin, everyone who thinks it was that simple is being played. All indicators point at this, I read that Rostov on Don is the military headquarters for the Ukraine operation, no one has explained how Wagner could walk in and take the entire place without firing a shot while Prigozhin had announced he was coming in hot, lol.

Everyone got baited and played because everyone in the West just wanted this to happen so badly, they've been dreaming about Putin being overthrown by his generals or dying of cancer for over a year now ^^

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Jun 25 2023 04:08am
O dreams, O dreams,
So where are your delights?
Oh, where are you,
The joys of night?
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Jun 25 2023 04:42am
Quote (Norlander @ Jun 25 2023 12:08pm)
O dreams, O dreams,
So where are your delights?
Oh, where are you,
The joys of night?


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Jun 25 2023 04:50am
Quote (ownyaah @ Jun 25 2023 06:13am)
Appreciate the comment!

That was sort of my view in the beginning, but after everything settled the reality is that the negatives far outweigh the positives, and when things don´t add up then it is either big miscalculation or that view is wrong. This is all exacerbated by the fact that Prigoznin is a known theater enjoy-er which makes it even more messy to interpret.

My personal view is that it would have been preferable if Wagner continued as it has been, without being integrated into MoD. Why should you ever do anything to the goose that lays golden eggs? I have always viewed Wagner as Putin´s private army and a way to circumvent Russian constitutions &l laws similarly to other PMCs, but turns out there is a big problem with this view. If we take a second and ignore the conflict that happened.. why did Putin decide to absorb it into MoD a few weeks ago???


It certainly seems embarrassing for Russia by any measure, if it was a true coup attempt and this sort of stupidity and incompetence was on display for the whole world then it was a huge blow to Russia. That makes me suspicious because I haven't seen much attempt on the part of the Russian government to downplay or hide this situation.

Wagner being dissolved and absorbed officially may not change what they actually do though, it may limit them in some ways but give them more freedom others. Keep in mind that Wagner is a household name around the world and that isn't really in keeping with a secretive private army. I have a similar view of what Wagners purpose was which is why I find it hard to believe they were involved in a coup against Putin.

Whatever the case, seeing what comes of all this will definitely be interesting.
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Jun 25 2023 04:55am
Probably I don't know my country that good. The situation in Rostov city, neighboring Ukraine, has shown that majority of the population are pro-wagner while almost everyone are pro-war.
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Jun 25 2023 05:35am
Quote (Djunior @ Jun 25 2023 05:52am)
Everyone got baited and played because everyone in the West just wanted this to happen so badly, they've been dreaming about Putin being overthrown by his generals or dying of cancer for over a year now ^^


This is true
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