Quote (DizzyBusiness @ Jun 25 2023 11:04am)
I was needlessly combative in my initial response so it isn't really your fault, I started it lol, I just took it personally when I should have addressed what you said in good faith since I generally agree with your views on these things. So I apologize for the rudeness.
I consider you much more educated on politics and international affairs than I am, you are one of the posters who keep me interested in this thread actually. That said I think we are living in strange times and that unconventional perspectives can have some value.
I think Prigozhin is basically a disinformation agent for Russia and I think Wagner is just an arm of the Russian military which has the freedom to act with some plausible deniability. So that is the lens I view their actions through, the only way this being an actual coup attempt makes sense to me is if Prigozhin lost his mind, which may be possible but more likely that I either have a flawed view of Wagner/Prigozhin or it was some sort of information warfare.
Wagner is basically the Kremlin's private army. As you probably know they're engaged in lots of places where they offer help in armed conflicts in exchange for a cut of the natural resources like for example Syria where Wagner helped "liberate" oil wells for the Syrian government in exchange for a whopping 25% cut of all oil profits from those wells.
Same goes for goldmines in Africa. So Wagner not only increases Russian influence but also generates a significant flow of money that flows back to the Kremlin via a network of companies so it cannot be linked to Wagner.
Wagner is important and Prigozhin and Putin are close. Prigozhin was never going to Moscow to overthrow Putin, everyone who thinks it was that simple is being played. All indicators point at this, I read that Rostov on Don is the military headquarters for the Ukraine operation, no one has explained how Wagner could walk in and take the entire place without firing a shot while Prigozhin had announced he was coming in hot, lol.
Everyone got baited and played because everyone in the West just wanted this to happen so badly, they've been dreaming about Putin being overthrown by his generals or dying of cancer for over a year now ^^