Quote (ferdia @ Jun 5 2023 11:38am)
There are various studies on line, all of which are indicating that the move from a unipolar world to a multi polar has, would and will occur via violence, i.e. war. Therefore I disagree with you, the world is not a safe place on the geopolitical / military stage and it is going to get a hell of a lot worse as the world moves further and further towards a true multi polar world.
dividing the world in 2 is intrinsically, not safer.
Don't think this is consistent with what has largely been the case post WW2. Having 2 large adversaries which can basically create MAD keeps both of these powers at bay and in a equilibrium, respecting each other at least somewhat and being careful about not tipping into full war. There were scuffles for influence in South America, Africa, Asia, with more than a few examples but ultimately I think the period between 1946-1990 was stable, particularly if you compare it to the previous 30-40 years.
When one power clearly has the power, it starts to act unilaterally, not respecting it's lesser. Iraq & Libya are prime examples. These are both really good examples of wars that really had no legal or ethical justification, with most of the globe not being on board with US/NATO actions but they happened anyways, with no sanctions or international tribunals or anything really.
We're at the point in history when we are actually funding and providing intelligence for an active war with a nuclear power on their soil. This would have never been acceptable during the cold war.
Having a multi-polar world IMO is needed to maintain this equilibrium. We're vehemently scrambling in east and south Asia right now to maintain our hegemony, signing new alliances and w.e. because we don't want to give China a seat a the table similarly with what we had with the USSR.