Quote (inkanddagger @ 2 Apr 2019 02:32)
The Senate is safe R until 2022, when it will flip to D. That's why the ideal scenario is Trump winning in 2020 so that there is a guaranteed D majority Congress starting in 2022 that can pass things like M4A right out the gate in 2024. RBG is the dangerous part of this.
The Democratic leadership in closed door meetings are trying to decide if winning in 2020 and then losing the House in 2022 and the Presidency in 2024 is worth risking RBG living for two more years.
Even if Dems flip the Senate in 2022, they wont achieve a supermajority, so Republicans could still filibuster most bills, and they could definitely prevent President Trump's veto from getting overwritten. (I dont think the Dems would reach the 290 votes needed in the House either.)
So they could pass a ton of symbolic bills which would die either in the Senate filibuster or on Trump's desk. In 2024, there will once again be 21 Dems, 2 independents who caucus with the Dems and just 11 Republicans on the Senate ballot. So even if Dems win a small majority in the Senate in 2022, there's a good chance they lose it again in 2024 and dont hold the Senate when their new president is sworn in in early 2025 in your scenario.
So no, I dont think that this specific argument for preferring a 2nd Trump term makes sense from the pov of a Democrat/liberal/progressive/leftist.
The more convincing argument imho is that Trump is an inefficient president who wastes the time when Rs are on top without passing lasting legislation; and that he is so divisive and erratic that he is the Democrats' best campaign worker.
Also... who says if the Dems win the WH in 2020 that they would lose it again in 2024?
This post was edited by Black XistenZ on Apr 1 2019 07:48pm