Quote (Black XistenZ @ Mar 29 2019 11:07pm)
With gerrymandering and the naturally built-in geographic disadvantage of the Democratic coalition, I really dont see any scenario in which Trump wins reelection without the GOP also taking the House and most likely the Senate.
On the flip side, if the Democratic candidate knocks Trump off in 2020, they will most likely have a good shot at also capturing the House.
The Senate is safe R until 2022, when it will flip to D. That's why the ideal scenario is Trump winning in 2020 so that there is a guaranteed D majority Congress starting in 2022 that can pass things like M4A right out the gate in 2024. RBG is the dangerous part of this.
The Democratic leadership in closed door meetings are trying to decide if winning in 2020 and then losing the House in 2022 and the Presidency in 2024 is worth risking RBG living for two more years.
If Sanders is allowed to be the nominee, you'll know they chose RBG over everything else because he'll be a one termer with two SCotUS nominations. If they go establishment candidate then you know they chose the path where they will lose 2020 but pick up the loss in 2022 and 2024.
This post was edited by inkanddagger on Apr 1 2019 07:42pm